Redistricting has consolidated California's 6th congressional district into a Sacramento-area seat with a pronounced Democratic lean, positioning former state Senator and physician Richard Pan as the party's nominee against independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with House Republicans. Primary results in June 2026 confirmed these two as general-election contenders, and the district's voter composition has left limited viable pathways for a Republican-aligned candidate. A July 2026 poll showed Pan narrowly ahead at 39% to Kiley's 35%, consistent with the implied probability reflected in current trader pricing. The November 3, 2026, outcome could still shift if turnout patterns favor Kiley's base, national political dynamics produce a strong Republican midterm environment, or late developments alter voter priorities in this battleground seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-06 House Election Winner
CA-06 House Election Winner
$42,196 वॉल्यूम
$42,196 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$42,196 वॉल्यूम
$42,196 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,233 वॉल्यूम
94%
Republican Party
$23,963 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has consolidated California's 6th congressional district into a Sacramento-area seat with a pronounced Democratic lean, positioning former state Senator and physician Richard Pan as the party's nominee against independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with House Republicans. Primary results in June 2026 confirmed these two as general-election contenders, and the district's voter composition has left limited viable pathways for a Republican-aligned candidate. A July 2026 poll showed Pan narrowly ahead at 39% to Kiley's 35%, consistent with the implied probability reflected in current trader pricing. The November 3, 2026, outcome could still shift if turnout patterns favor Kiley's base, national political dynamics produce a strong Republican midterm environment, or late developments alter voter priorities in this battleground seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$42,196समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has consolidated California's 6th congressional district into a Sacramento-area seat with a pronounced Democratic lean, positioning former state Senator and physician Richard Pan as the party's nominee against independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with House Republicans. Primary results in June 2026 confirmed these two as general-election contenders, and the district's voter composition has left limited viable pathways for a Republican-aligned candidate. A July 2026 poll showed Pan narrowly ahead at 39% to Kiley's 35%, consistent with the implied probability reflected in current trader pricing. The November 3, 2026, outcome could still shift if turnout patterns favor Kiley's base, national political dynamics produce a strong Republican midterm environment, or late developments alter voter priorities in this battleground seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$42,196समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has consolidated California's 6th congressional district into a Sacramento-area seat with a pronounced Democratic lean, positioning former state Senator and physician Richard Pan as the party's nominee against independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with House Republicans. Primary results in June 2026 confirmed these two as general-election contenders, and the district's voter composition has left limited viable pathways for a Republican-aligned candidate. A July 2026 poll showed Pan narrowly ahead at 39% to Kiley's 35%, consistent with the implied probability reflected in current trader pricing. The November 3, 2026, outcome could still shift if turnout patterns favor Kiley's base, national political dynamics produce a strong Republican midterm environment, or late developments alter voter priorities in this battleground seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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