Recent Emerson College Polling released yesterday shows former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra surging to 19% in the June 2 top-two primary for California governor, a nine-point gain since mid-April, propelling trader consensus to 48% implied probability for first place amid a fragmented Democratic field. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds steady at around 17% with self-funding and Sierra Club endorsement on May 6 bolstering his climate-focused pitch, while Republican Steve Hilton matches that level on Trump backing and outsider appeal targeting housing costs and taxes. Volatility persists post-final debate last week, with early voting underway; Democratic vote-splitting risks a Republican top-two advance in the open-seat race succeeding term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाXavier Becerra 48%
Tom Steyer 25%
Steve Hilton 23%
Matt Mahan 3.3%
$27,602 वॉल्यूम
$27,602 वॉल्यूम
Xavier Becerra
48%
Tom Steyer
25%
Steve Hilton
23%
Matt Mahan
3%
Chad Bianco
3%
Katie Porter
2%
Nicki Minaj
1%
Raji Rab
1%
Derek Grasty
1%
Elaine Culotti
<1%
Thunder Parley
<1%
Daniel Mercuri
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Betty Yee
<1%
Carolina Buhler
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Leo Zacky
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
<1%
Xavier Becerra 48%
Tom Steyer 25%
Steve Hilton 23%
Matt Mahan 3.3%
$27,602 वॉल्यूम
$27,602 वॉल्यूम
Xavier Becerra
48%
Tom Steyer
25%
Steve Hilton
23%
Matt Mahan
3%
Chad Bianco
3%
Katie Porter
2%
Nicki Minaj
1%
Raji Rab
1%
Derek Grasty
1%
Elaine Culotti
<1%
Thunder Parley
<1%
Daniel Mercuri
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Betty Yee
<1%
Carolina Buhler
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Leo Zacky
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Emerson College Polling released yesterday shows former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra surging to 19% in the June 2 top-two primary for California governor, a nine-point gain since mid-April, propelling trader consensus to 48% implied probability for first place amid a fragmented Democratic field. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds steady at around 17% with self-funding and Sierra Club endorsement on May 6 bolstering his climate-focused pitch, while Republican Steve Hilton matches that level on Trump backing and outsider appeal targeting housing costs and taxes. Volatility persists post-final debate last week, with early voting underway; Democratic vote-splitting risks a Republican top-two advance in the open-seat race succeeding term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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