The tight Georgia Republican Senate runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley on June 16 stems from the May 19 primary results, where Collins took 40.5% and Dooley 30.2% amid a fragmented field that included Rep. Buddy Carter. Key dynamics include competing factional support—Dooley backed by Gov. Brian Kemp's network, Collins positioning as the stronger Trump-aligned option—with neither securing an early endorsement from the president. Regional vote patterns from the primary, suburban strengths for Dooley versus rural and base mobilization for Collins, plus differences in name recognition and spending, have kept implied probabilities narrow across margin outcomes. A Trump endorsement, strong debate follow-through, or turnout shifts in metro Atlanta and South Georgia counties could widen the gap before early voting concludes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCollins <5% 44%
Collins 10–15% 41%
Collins 15–20% 41%
कॉलिन्स 20–25% 39%
$126 वॉल्यूम
$126 वॉल्यूम
25 मई, 2026
डूली जीतते हैं
15%
Collins <5%
44%
कॉलिन्स 5–10%
30%
Collins 10–15%
41%
Collins 15–20%
41%
कॉलिन्स 20–25%
39%
Collins 25%+
37%
Collins <5% 44%
Collins 10–15% 41%
Collins 15–20% 41%
कॉलिन्स 20–25% 39%
$126 वॉल्यूम
$126 वॉल्यूम
25 मई, 2026
डूली जीतते हैं
$15 वॉल्यूम
15%
Collins <5%
$28 वॉल्यूम
44%
कॉलिन्स 5–10%
$43 वॉल्यूम
30%
Collins 10–15%
$5 वॉल्यूम
41%
Collins 15–20%
$5 वॉल्यूम
41%
कॉलिन्स 20–25%
$5 वॉल्यूम
39%
Collins 25%+
$25 वॉल्यूम
37%
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The tight Georgia Republican Senate runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley on June 16 stems from the May 19 primary results, where Collins took 40.5% and Dooley 30.2% amid a fragmented field that included Rep. Buddy Carter. Key dynamics include competing factional support—Dooley backed by Gov. Brian Kemp's network, Collins positioning as the stronger Trump-aligned option—with neither securing an early endorsement from the president. Regional vote patterns from the primary, suburban strengths for Dooley versus rural and base mobilization for Collins, plus differences in name recognition and spending, have kept implied probabilities narrow across margin outcomes. A Trump endorsement, strong debate follow-through, or turnout shifts in metro Atlanta and South Georgia counties could widen the gap before early voting concludes.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$126समाप्ति तिथि
25 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The tight Georgia Republican Senate runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley on June 16 stems from the May 19 primary results, where Collins took 40.5% and Dooley 30.2% amid a fragmented field that included Rep. Buddy Carter. Key dynamics include competing factional support—Dooley backed by Gov. Brian Kemp's network, Collins positioning as the stronger Trump-aligned option—with neither securing an early endorsement from the president. Regional vote patterns from the primary, suburban strengths for Dooley versus rural and base mobilization for Collins, plus differences in name recognition and spending, have kept implied probabilities narrow across margin outcomes. A Trump endorsement, strong debate follow-through, or turnout shifts in metro Atlanta and South Georgia counties could widen the gap before early voting concludes.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$126समाप्ति तिथि
25 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight Georgia Republican Senate runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley on June 16 stems from the May 19 primary results, where Collins took 40.5% and Dooley 30.2% amid a fragmented field that included Rep. Buddy Carter. Key dynamics include competing factional support—Dooley backed by Gov. Brian Kemp's network, Collins positioning as the stronger Trump-aligned option—with neither securing an early endorsement from the president. Regional vote patterns from the primary, suburban strengths for Dooley versus rural and base mobilization for Collins, plus differences in name recognition and spending, have kept implied probabilities narrow across margin outcomes. A Trump endorsement, strong debate follow-through, or turnout shifts in metro Atlanta and South Georgia counties could widen the gap before early voting concludes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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