A Survation poll conducted last week placed Restore Britain, contesting its first parliamentary seat in the June 18 Makerfield by-election, on 7% behind Labour and Reform UK. The party, launched as a registered entity in February 2026 by former Reform MP Rupert Lowe, has emphasized local issues such as anti-social behaviour and opposition to over-development through candidate Rebecca Shepherd. Public canvassing claims by Restore Britain leaders suggested stronger support, yet these contrast with the independent survey results amid ongoing tensions between the two right-wing parties over vote splitting. Traders appear to weigh the limited national profile and polling evidence more heavily than internal party projections when assessing the 10% threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामेकरफील्ड उप - चुनाव: बहाल ब्रिटेन 10% से अधिक प्राप्त करता है?
मेकरफील्ड उप - चुनाव: बहाल ब्रिटेन 10% से अधिक प्राप्त करता है?
हाँ
नया
नया
18 जून, 2026
हाँ
नया
नया
18 जून, 2026
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).A Survation poll conducted last week placed Restore Britain, contesting its first parliamentary seat in the June 18 Makerfield by-election, on 7% behind Labour and Reform UK. The party, launched as a registered entity in February 2026 by former Reform MP Rupert Lowe, has emphasized local issues such as anti-social behaviour and opposition to over-development through candidate Rebecca Shepherd. Public canvassing claims by Restore Britain leaders suggested stronger support, yet these contrast with the independent survey results amid ongoing tensions between the two right-wing parties over vote splitting. Traders appear to weigh the limited national profile and polling evidence more heavily than internal party projections when assessing the 10% threshold.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,963समाप्ति तिथि
18 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).A Survation poll conducted last week placed Restore Britain, contesting its first parliamentary seat in the June 18 Makerfield by-election, on 7% behind Labour and Reform UK. The party, launched as a registered entity in February 2026 by former Reform MP Rupert Lowe, has emphasized local issues such as anti-social behaviour and opposition to over-development through candidate Rebecca Shepherd. Public canvassing claims by Restore Britain leaders suggested stronger support, yet these contrast with the independent survey results amid ongoing tensions between the two right-wing parties over vote splitting. Traders appear to weigh the limited national profile and polling evidence more heavily than internal party projections when assessing the 10% threshold.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
वॉल्यूम
$3,963समाप्ति तिथि
18 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A Survation poll conducted last week placed Restore Britain, contesting its first parliamentary seat in the June 18 Makerfield by-election, on 7% behind Labour and Reform UK. The party, launched as a registered entity in February 2026 by former Reform MP Rupert Lowe, has emphasized local issues such as anti-social behaviour and opposition to over-development through candidate Rebecca Shepherd. Public canvassing claims by Restore Britain leaders suggested stronger support, yet these contrast with the independent survey results amid ongoing tensions between the two right-wing parties over vote splitting. Traders appear to weigh the limited national profile and polling evidence more heavily than internal party projections when assessing the 10% threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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