Recent Middle East energy disruptions have lifted UK CPI inflation to 3.3 percent, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75 percent in its late-April decision while noting risks of further upside pressure. With one MPC member already favoring a 25-basis-point hike and labor-market slack continuing to widen, traders see limited scope for easing at the June 18 meeting and only modest odds of a modest tightening. Market-implied odds of no change near 87 percent reflect this balance of elevated near-term inflation against a softening economy, while the slim 13 percent chance of a 25-basis-point rise captures the tail risk of persistent oil-price effects. The next catalysts are the May inflation release and any further escalation in energy markets ahead of the June policy announcement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाजून में बैंक ऑफ़ इंग्लैंड का फ़ैसला?
कोई बदलाव नहीं 87%
25 बीपीएस की वृद्धि 14%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती <1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी <1%
$125,831 वॉल्यूम
$125,831 वॉल्यूम
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती
<1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
87%
25 बीपीएस की वृद्धि
14%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट्स वृद्धि
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 87%
25 बीपीएस की वृद्धि 14%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती <1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी <1%
$125,831 वॉल्यूम
$125,831 वॉल्यूम
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती
<1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
87%
25 बीपीएस की वृद्धि
14%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट्स वृद्धि
<1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Middle East energy disruptions have lifted UK CPI inflation to 3.3 percent, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75 percent in its late-April decision while noting risks of further upside pressure. With one MPC member already favoring a 25-basis-point hike and labor-market slack continuing to widen, traders see limited scope for easing at the June 18 meeting and only modest odds of a modest tightening. Market-implied odds of no change near 87 percent reflect this balance of elevated near-term inflation against a softening economy, while the slim 13 percent chance of a 25-basis-point rise captures the tail risk of persistent oil-price effects. The next catalysts are the May inflation release and any further escalation in energy markets ahead of the June policy announcement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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