Several 2026 gubernatorial contests remain highly competitive due to open seats, term-limited incumbents, and closely divided electorates in states such as Ohio, Wisconsin, Kansas, Iowa, and Georgia. Recent primaries have clarified nominee fields, with polling in Ohio showing margins under 2 points and Iowa rated a toss-up between Democrat Rob Sand and Republican Zach Lahn. Cook Political Report and other forecasters list five toss-ups overall, reflecting balanced partisan leans, candidate recruitment, and economic pressures that could sustain narrow outcomes. Trader consensus on Ohio, Wisconsin, and Kansas leading reflects these structural factors and limited separation in current data, though late-cycle events like turnout shifts or economic indicators could widen gaps before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाओहायो 18.6%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 वॉल्यूम
$11,682 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
ओहायो
19%
New Hampshire
9%
Wisconsin
13%
Kansas
12%
Iowa
12%
Texas
12%
Alaska
11%
फ्लोरिडा
9%
Georgia
9%
Nevada
7%
मिशिगन
5%
Vermont
4%
Oregon
3%
Minnesota
3%
Maine
3%
कोलोराडो
2%
New Mexico
2%
Arizona
1%
ओहायो 18.6%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 वॉल्यूम
$11,682 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
ओहायो
$423 वॉल्यूम
19%
New Hampshire
$272 वॉल्यूम
9%
Wisconsin
$970 वॉल्यूम
13%
Kansas
$2,109 वॉल्यूम
12%
Iowa
$1,480 वॉल्यूम
12%
Texas
$1,569 वॉल्यूम
12%
Alaska
$207 वॉल्यूम
11%
फ्लोरिडा
$224 वॉल्यूम
9%
Georgia
$297 वॉल्यूम
9%
Nevada
$2,034 वॉल्यूम
7%
मिशिगन
$329 वॉल्यूम
5%
Vermont
$176 वॉल्यूम
4%
Oregon
$319 वॉल्यूम
3%
Minnesota
$214 वॉल्यूम
3%
Maine
$355 वॉल्यूम
3%
कोलोराडो
$243 वॉल्यूम
2%
New Mexico
$194 वॉल्यूम
2%
Arizona
$269 वॉल्यूम
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 gubernatorial contests remain highly competitive due to open seats, term-limited incumbents, and closely divided electorates in states such as Ohio, Wisconsin, Kansas, Iowa, and Georgia. Recent primaries have clarified nominee fields, with polling in Ohio showing margins under 2 points and Iowa rated a toss-up between Democrat Rob Sand and Republican Zach Lahn. Cook Political Report and other forecasters list five toss-ups overall, reflecting balanced partisan leans, candidate recruitment, and economic pressures that could sustain narrow outcomes. Trader consensus on Ohio, Wisconsin, and Kansas leading reflects these structural factors and limited separation in current data, though late-cycle events like turnout shifts or economic indicators could widen gaps before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,682समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 gubernatorial contests remain highly competitive due to open seats, term-limited incumbents, and closely divided electorates in states such as Ohio, Wisconsin, Kansas, Iowa, and Georgia. Recent primaries have clarified nominee fields, with polling in Ohio showing margins under 2 points and Iowa rated a toss-up between Democrat Rob Sand and Republican Zach Lahn. Cook Political Report and other forecasters list five toss-ups overall, reflecting balanced partisan leans, candidate recruitment, and economic pressures that could sustain narrow outcomes. Trader consensus on Ohio, Wisconsin, and Kansas leading reflects these structural factors and limited separation in current data, though late-cycle events like turnout shifts or economic indicators could widen gaps before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$11,682समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Several 2026 gubernatorial contests remain highly competitive due to open seats, term-limited incumbents, and closely divided electorates in states such as Ohio, Wisconsin, Kansas, Iowa, and Georgia. Recent primaries have clarified nominee fields, with polling in Ohio showing margins under 2 points and Iowa rated a toss-up between Democrat Rob Sand and Republican Zach Lahn. Cook Political Report and other forecasters list five toss-ups overall, reflecting balanced partisan leans, candidate recruitment, and economic pressures that could sustain narrow outcomes. Trader consensus on Ohio, Wisconsin, and Kansas leading reflects these structural factors and limited separation in current data, though late-cycle events like turnout shifts or economic indicators could widen gaps before November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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