Open gubernatorial seats in Ohio, Iowa, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Alaska, driven by term limits on incumbents like Mike DeWine and Kim Reynolds, have produced the tightest polling averages and toss-up ratings from forecasters. Recent surveys show Amy Acton and Vivek Ramaswamy essentially tied in Ohio, Rob Sand narrowly ahead of or level with Zach Lahn in Iowa, and comparable margins in Georgia between Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson. Texas stands out among larger states due to Greg Abbott’s narrower-than-expected leads over Gina Hinojosa in multiple August polls, while Nevada and Wisconsin feature competitive open or retiring-incumbent dynamics. Trader consensus reflects these small projected victory margins, with further consolidation likely hinging on final candidate fields, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle polling shifts in the battlegrounds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाओहायो 13.3%
Alaska 11.9%
Iowa 11.8%
Wisconsin 11.4%
$14,053 वॉल्यूम
$14,053 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
ओहायो
13%
Alaska
12%
Iowa
12%
Wisconsin
11%
Texas
11%
Georgia
11%
Nevada
10%
फ्लोरिडा
8%
Kansas
6%
New Hampshire
5%
New Mexico
4%
Minnesota
3%
कोलोराडो
3%
Oregon
2%
Arizona
2%
मिशिगन
1%
Maine
1%
Vermont
1%
ओहायो 13.3%
Alaska 11.9%
Iowa 11.8%
Wisconsin 11.4%
$14,053 वॉल्यूम
$14,053 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
ओहायो
$788 वॉल्यूम
13%
Alaska
$259 वॉल्यूम
12%
Iowa
$1,485 वॉल्यूम
12%
Wisconsin
$1,197 वॉल्यूम
11%
Texas
$1,698 वॉल्यूम
11%
Georgia
$424 वॉल्यूम
11%
Nevada
$2,878 वॉल्यूम
10%
फ्लोरिडा
$234 वॉल्यूम
8%
Kansas
$2,325 वॉल्यूम
6%
New Hampshire
$534 वॉल्यूम
5%
New Mexico
$235 वॉल्यूम
4%
Minnesota
$249 वॉल्यूम
3%
कोलोराडो
$248 वॉल्यूम
3%
Oregon
$331 वॉल्यूम
2%
Arizona
$292 वॉल्यूम
2%
मिशिगन
$334 वॉल्यूम
1%
Maine
$360 वॉल्यूम
1%
Vermont
$181 वॉल्यूम
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Open gubernatorial seats in Ohio, Iowa, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Alaska, driven by term limits on incumbents like Mike DeWine and Kim Reynolds, have produced the tightest polling averages and toss-up ratings from forecasters. Recent surveys show Amy Acton and Vivek Ramaswamy essentially tied in Ohio, Rob Sand narrowly ahead of or level with Zach Lahn in Iowa, and comparable margins in Georgia between Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson. Texas stands out among larger states due to Greg Abbott’s narrower-than-expected leads over Gina Hinojosa in multiple August polls, while Nevada and Wisconsin feature competitive open or retiring-incumbent dynamics. Trader consensus reflects these small projected victory margins, with further consolidation likely hinging on final candidate fields, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle polling shifts in the battlegrounds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,053समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Open gubernatorial seats in Ohio, Iowa, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Alaska, driven by term limits on incumbents like Mike DeWine and Kim Reynolds, have produced the tightest polling averages and toss-up ratings from forecasters. Recent surveys show Amy Acton and Vivek Ramaswamy essentially tied in Ohio, Rob Sand narrowly ahead of or level with Zach Lahn in Iowa, and comparable margins in Georgia between Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson. Texas stands out among larger states due to Greg Abbott’s narrower-than-expected leads over Gina Hinojosa in multiple August polls, while Nevada and Wisconsin feature competitive open or retiring-incumbent dynamics. Trader consensus reflects these small projected victory margins, with further consolidation likely hinging on final candidate fields, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle polling shifts in the battlegrounds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$14,053समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Open gubernatorial seats in Ohio, Iowa, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Alaska, driven by term limits on incumbents like Mike DeWine and Kim Reynolds, have produced the tightest polling averages and toss-up ratings from forecasters. Recent surveys show Amy Acton and Vivek Ramaswamy essentially tied in Ohio, Rob Sand narrowly ahead of or level with Zach Lahn in Iowa, and comparable margins in Georgia between Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson. Texas stands out among larger states due to Greg Abbott’s narrower-than-expected leads over Gina Hinojosa in multiple August polls, while Nevada and Wisconsin feature competitive open or retiring-incumbent dynamics. Trader consensus reflects these small projected victory margins, with further consolidation likely hinging on final candidate fields, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle polling shifts in the battlegrounds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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