Multiple Republican-held seats rate as toss-ups or narrow leans ahead of the November 2026 midterms, with Texas, Iowa, the Ohio special, Alaska, and Maine emerging as the tightest contests per forecaster consensus. Recent primaries, including Ken Paxton’s Texas nomination win and high-profile Democratic challenges such as Sherrod Brown in Ohio and Mary Peltola in Alaska, have sustained uncertainty in states where recent results or candidate quality keep margins narrow. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals plus sensitivity to national environment shifts, with open seats and vulnerable incumbents amplifying volatility. Late polling movement, turnout differentials in key voting blocs, or campaign finance gaps could widen separation before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTexas 23%
Iowa 17.1%
Maine 15%
Ohio (Special) 11.6%
$27,561 वॉल्यूम
$27,561 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Texas
23%
Iowa
17%
Maine
15%
Ohio (Special)
12%
Alaska
12%
Michigan
7%
Nebraska
5%
Virginia
4%
Florida (Special)
3%
New Mexico
3%
North Carolina
2%
New Hampshire
2%
Georgia
1%
Colorado
1%
Montana
1%
Minnesota
1%
Texas 23%
Iowa 17.1%
Maine 15%
Ohio (Special) 11.6%
$27,561 वॉल्यूम
$27,561 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Texas
$772 वॉल्यूम
23%
Iowa
$2,622 वॉल्यूम
17%
Maine
$1,285 वॉल्यूम
15%
Ohio (Special)
$5,040 वॉल्यूम
12%
Alaska
$5,108 वॉल्यूम
12%
Michigan
$2,346 वॉल्यूम
7%
Nebraska
$275 वॉल्यूम
5%
Virginia
$5,073 वॉल्यूम
4%
Florida (Special)
$253 वॉल्यूम
3%
New Mexico
$160 वॉल्यूम
3%
North Carolina
$621 वॉल्यूम
2%
New Hampshire
$485 वॉल्यूम
2%
Georgia
$752 वॉल्यूम
1%
Colorado
$662 वॉल्यूम
1%
Montana
$616 वॉल्यूम
1%
Minnesota
$1,489 वॉल्यूम
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple Republican-held seats rate as toss-ups or narrow leans ahead of the November 2026 midterms, with Texas, Iowa, the Ohio special, Alaska, and Maine emerging as the tightest contests per forecaster consensus. Recent primaries, including Ken Paxton’s Texas nomination win and high-profile Democratic challenges such as Sherrod Brown in Ohio and Mary Peltola in Alaska, have sustained uncertainty in states where recent results or candidate quality keep margins narrow. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals plus sensitivity to national environment shifts, with open seats and vulnerable incumbents amplifying volatility. Late polling movement, turnout differentials in key voting blocs, or campaign finance gaps could widen separation before Election Day.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,561समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple Republican-held seats rate as toss-ups or narrow leans ahead of the November 2026 midterms, with Texas, Iowa, the Ohio special, Alaska, and Maine emerging as the tightest contests per forecaster consensus. Recent primaries, including Ken Paxton’s Texas nomination win and high-profile Democratic challenges such as Sherrod Brown in Ohio and Mary Peltola in Alaska, have sustained uncertainty in states where recent results or candidate quality keep margins narrow. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals plus sensitivity to national environment shifts, with open seats and vulnerable incumbents amplifying volatility. Late polling movement, turnout differentials in key voting blocs, or campaign finance gaps could widen separation before Election Day.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$27,561समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple Republican-held seats rate as toss-ups or narrow leans ahead of the November 2026 midterms, with Texas, Iowa, the Ohio special, Alaska, and Maine emerging as the tightest contests per forecaster consensus. Recent primaries, including Ken Paxton’s Texas nomination win and high-profile Democratic challenges such as Sherrod Brown in Ohio and Mary Peltola in Alaska, have sustained uncertainty in states where recent results or candidate quality keep margins narrow. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals plus sensitivity to national environment shifts, with open seats and vulnerable incumbents amplifying volatility. Late polling movement, turnout differentials in key voting blocs, or campaign finance gaps could widen separation before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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