Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, where trader consensus assigns her party a 91.5% implied probability of retaining the seat in the November 2026 general election. The district's suburban areas around Grand Rapids have trended Democratic in recent cycles, reflecting shifts among college-educated voters and allowing Scholten to expand her margin after flipping the seat in 2022. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or likely Democratic, supported by her fundraising edge and the Republican primary winner Terri DeBoer's limited prior political experience. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually high GOP turnout could still narrow the gap before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMI-03 House Election Winner
MI-03 House Election Winner
$19,136 वॉल्यूम
$19,136 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
$19,136 वॉल्यूम
$19,136 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,194 वॉल्यूम
92%
Republican Party
$3,942 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, where trader consensus assigns her party a 91.5% implied probability of retaining the seat in the November 2026 general election. The district's suburban areas around Grand Rapids have trended Democratic in recent cycles, reflecting shifts among college-educated voters and allowing Scholten to expand her margin after flipping the seat in 2022. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or likely Democratic, supported by her fundraising edge and the Republican primary winner Terri DeBoer's limited prior political experience. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually high GOP turnout could still narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,136समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, where trader consensus assigns her party a 91.5% implied probability of retaining the seat in the November 2026 general election. The district's suburban areas around Grand Rapids have trended Democratic in recent cycles, reflecting shifts among college-educated voters and allowing Scholten to expand her margin after flipping the seat in 2022. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or likely Democratic, supported by her fundraising edge and the Republican primary winner Terri DeBoer's limited prior political experience. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually high GOP turnout could still narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$19,136समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, where trader consensus assigns her party a 91.5% implied probability of retaining the seat in the November 2026 general election. The district's suburban areas around Grand Rapids have trended Democratic in recent cycles, reflecting shifts among college-educated voters and allowing Scholten to expand her margin after flipping the seat in 2022. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or likely Democratic, supported by her fundraising edge and the Republican primary winner Terri DeBoer's limited prior political experience. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually high GOP turnout could still narrow the gap before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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