Recent developments in Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X point to a steadier, business-focused rhythm that has kept the 220-239 and 180-199 ranges trading neck-and-neck on Polymarket. With daily output hovering near 30–35 posts amid xAI product updates, Grok feature drops, and routine SpaceX commentary, traders have priced in modest volume rather than the viral spikes seen during past controversies or major launches. Upcoming Starship milestones or any high-profile policy statements could still push totals higher, yet the current absence of breaking external catalysts has left the market’s implied probability tightly clustered around the low-to-mid 200s for the full May 15–22 window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया220-239 18.9%
180-199 19%
200-219 16.6%
240-259 10.0%
$4,434,217 वॉल्यूम
$4,434,217 वॉल्यूम
22 मई, 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
3%
160-179
9%
180-199
19%
200-219
17%
220-239
19%
240-259
10%
260-279
8%
280-299
4%
300-319
3%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
220-239 18.9%
180-199 19%
200-219 16.6%
240-259 10.0%
$4,434,217 वॉल्यूम
$4,434,217 वॉल्यूम
22 मई, 2026
60-79
$261,741 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80-99
$282,843 वॉल्यूम
<1%
100-119
$253,759 वॉल्यूम
<1%
120-139
$185,511 वॉल्यूम
1%
140-159
$174,106 वॉल्यूम
3%
160-179
$140,248 वॉल्यूम
9%
180-199
$115,674 वॉल्यूम
19%
200-219
$172,564 वॉल्यूम
17%
220-239
$157,237 वॉल्यूम
19%
240-259
$119,505 वॉल्यूम
10%
260-279
$133,708 वॉल्यूम
8%
280-299
$119,886 वॉल्यूम
4%
300-319
$146,610 वॉल्यूम
3%
320-339
$124,683 वॉल्यूम
1%
340-359
$146,324 वॉल्यूम
1%
360-379
$136,720 वॉल्यूम
1%
380-399
$161,185 वॉल्यूम
<1%
400-419
$170,409 वॉल्यूम
<1%
420-439
$238,030 वॉल्यूम
<1%
440-459
$121,203 वॉल्यूम
<1%
460-479
$130,876 वॉल्यूम
<1%
480-499
$171,707 वॉल्यूम
<1%
500+
$270,943 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent developments in Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X point to a steadier, business-focused rhythm that has kept the 220-239 and 180-199 ranges trading neck-and-neck on Polymarket. With daily output hovering near 30–35 posts amid xAI product updates, Grok feature drops, and routine SpaceX commentary, traders have priced in modest volume rather than the viral spikes seen during past controversies or major launches. Upcoming Starship milestones or any high-profile policy statements could still push totals higher, yet the current absence of breaking external catalysts has left the market’s implied probability tightly clustered around the low-to-mid 200s for the full May 15–22 window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,434,217समाप्ति तिथि
22 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent developments in Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X point to a steadier, business-focused rhythm that has kept the 220-239 and 180-199 ranges trading neck-and-neck on Polymarket. With daily output hovering near 30–35 posts amid xAI product updates, Grok feature drops, and routine SpaceX commentary, traders have priced in modest volume rather than the viral spikes seen during past controversies or major launches. Upcoming Starship milestones or any high-profile policy statements could still push totals higher, yet the current absence of breaking external catalysts has left the market’s implied probability tightly clustered around the low-to-mid 200s for the full May 15–22 window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$4,434,217समाप्ति तिथि
22 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments in Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X point to a steadier, business-focused rhythm that has kept the 220-239 and 180-199 ranges trading neck-and-neck on Polymarket. With daily output hovering near 30–35 posts amid xAI product updates, Grok feature drops, and routine SpaceX commentary, traders have priced in modest volume rather than the viral spikes seen during past controversies or major launches. Upcoming Starship milestones or any high-profile policy statements could still push totals higher, yet the current absence of breaking external catalysts has left the market’s implied probability tightly clustered around the low-to-mid 200s for the full May 15–22 window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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