Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 16–18 window, with the 65–89 range holding a commanding 69.5% implied probability. His pattern of frequent replies, commentary on tech policy, space milestones, and cultural debates has produced sustained high-volume days, reinforced by recent threads on Grok features, Starship progress, and real-time reactions to viral topics. Historical daily averages during active periods routinely exceed 20–30 posts when engagement spikes, making the mid-60s to upper-80s band the clearest fit for a three-day stretch. With the window closing and no major disruption in his schedule, the market shows little momentum toward lower brackets, though an unusually quiet final day could still compress the total.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया65-89 80%
40-64 13%
90-114 4.2%
115-139 <1%
$1,025,127 वॉल्यूम
$1,025,127 वॉल्यूम
18 मई, 2026
40 से कम
<1%
40-64
13%
65-89
80%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 80%
40-64 13%
90-114 4.2%
115-139 <1%
$1,025,127 वॉल्यूम
$1,025,127 वॉल्यूम
18 मई, 2026
40 से कम
$345,987 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40-64
$122,520 वॉल्यूम
13%
65-89
$112,695 वॉल्यूम
80%
90-114
$149,520 वॉल्यूम
4%
115-139
$112,413 वॉल्यूम
1%
140-164
$65,334 वॉल्यूम
<1%
165-189
$53,265 वॉल्यूम
<1%
190-214
$37,343 वॉल्यूम
<1%
215-239
$15,853 वॉल्यूम
<1%
240+
$19,735 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 16–18 window, with the 65–89 range holding a commanding 69.5% implied probability. His pattern of frequent replies, commentary on tech policy, space milestones, and cultural debates has produced sustained high-volume days, reinforced by recent threads on Grok features, Starship progress, and real-time reactions to viral topics. Historical daily averages during active periods routinely exceed 20–30 posts when engagement spikes, making the mid-60s to upper-80s band the clearest fit for a three-day stretch. With the window closing and no major disruption in his schedule, the market shows little momentum toward lower brackets, though an unusually quiet final day could still compress the total.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,025,127समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 16–18 window, with the 65–89 range holding a commanding 69.5% implied probability. His pattern of frequent replies, commentary on tech policy, space milestones, and cultural debates has produced sustained high-volume days, reinforced by recent threads on Grok features, Starship progress, and real-time reactions to viral topics. Historical daily averages during active periods routinely exceed 20–30 posts when engagement spikes, making the mid-60s to upper-80s band the clearest fit for a three-day stretch. With the window closing and no major disruption in his schedule, the market shows little momentum toward lower brackets, though an unusually quiet final day could still compress the total.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$1,025,127समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 16–18 window, with the 65–89 range holding a commanding 69.5% implied probability. His pattern of frequent replies, commentary on tech policy, space milestones, and cultural debates has produced sustained high-volume days, reinforced by recent threads on Grok features, Starship progress, and real-time reactions to viral topics. Historical daily averages during active periods routinely exceed 20–30 posts when engagement spikes, making the mid-60s to upper-80s band the clearest fit for a three-day stretch. With the window closing and no major disruption in his schedule, the market shows little momentum toward lower brackets, though an unusually quiet final day could still compress the total.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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