Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.6% implied probability, driven by his tracked 48 posts through 57% of the period per XTracker data, averaging roughly 13 daily amid steady cultural and political engagement. Recent momentum stems from May 13 viral replies amplifying Oscars DEI controversies, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic deportations—hallmarks of Musk's signature "True" endorsements that rack up millions of views. With three days remaining to the May 15 close, no major distractions like trials have slowed his cadence, consistent with prior weeks' 100-139 brackets leading markets; a news spike could push toward 140+, but historical patterns hold the lower bins as frontrunners.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया100-119 49.8%
120-139 26.6%
80-99 13.8%
140-159 7.2%
$7,453,416 वॉल्यूम
$7,453,416 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
80-99
14%
100-119
50%
120-139
27%
140-159
7%
160-179
2%
180-199
1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
100-119 49.8%
120-139 26.6%
80-99 13.8%
140-159 7.2%
$7,453,416 वॉल्यूम
$7,453,416 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
80-99
$995,181 वॉल्यूम
14%
100-119
$356,860 वॉल्यूम
50%
120-139
$365,992 वॉल्यूम
27%
140-159
$298,534 वॉल्यूम
7%
160-179
$274,055 वॉल्यूम
2%
180-199
$237,160 वॉल्यूम
1%
200-219
$266,144 वॉल्यूम
<1%
220-239
$221,847 वॉल्यूम
<1%
240-259
$330,267 वॉल्यूम
<1%
260-279
$255,455 वॉल्यूम
<1%
280-299
$204,633 वॉल्यूम
<1%
300-319
$206,664 वॉल्यूम
<1%
320-339
$192,775 वॉल्यूम
<1%
340-359
$63,239 वॉल्यूम
<1%
360-379
$68,264 वॉल्यूम
<1%
380-399
$62,389 वॉल्यूम
<1%
400-419
$58,683 वॉल्यूम
<1%
420-439
$118,926 वॉल्यूम
<1%
440-459
$91,560 वॉल्यूम
<1%
460-479
$117,006 वॉल्यूम
<1%
480-499
$86,800 वॉल्यूम
<1%
500+
$183,686 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.6% implied probability, driven by his tracked 48 posts through 57% of the period per XTracker data, averaging roughly 13 daily amid steady cultural and political engagement. Recent momentum stems from May 13 viral replies amplifying Oscars DEI controversies, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic deportations—hallmarks of Musk's signature "True" endorsements that rack up millions of views. With three days remaining to the May 15 close, no major distractions like trials have slowed his cadence, consistent with prior weeks' 100-139 brackets leading markets; a news spike could push toward 140+, but historical patterns hold the lower bins as frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,453,416समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.6% implied probability, driven by his tracked 48 posts through 57% of the period per XTracker data, averaging roughly 13 daily amid steady cultural and political engagement. Recent momentum stems from May 13 viral replies amplifying Oscars DEI controversies, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic deportations—hallmarks of Musk's signature "True" endorsements that rack up millions of views. With three days remaining to the May 15 close, no major distractions like trials have slowed his cadence, consistent with prior weeks' 100-139 brackets leading markets; a news spike could push toward 140+, but historical patterns hold the lower bins as frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$7,453,416समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.6% implied probability, driven by his tracked 48 posts through 57% of the period per XTracker data, averaging roughly 13 daily amid steady cultural and political engagement. Recent momentum stems from May 13 viral replies amplifying Oscars DEI controversies, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic deportations—hallmarks of Musk's signature "True" endorsements that rack up millions of views. With three days remaining to the May 15 close, no major distractions like trials have slowed his cadence, consistent with prior weeks' 100-139 brackets leading markets; a news spike could push toward 140+, but historical patterns hold the lower bins as frontrunners.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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