Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8 percent year-over-year amid energy price shocks from Middle East tensions, combined with a resilient labor market holding unemployment near 4.3 percent, underpin the 90.5 percent market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC has maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50 to 3.75 percent through its April meeting, with forward guidance emphasizing data-dependent policy and hawkish dissents signaling caution over premature easing. This aligns with broker forecasts pushing the first possible cuts into late 2026 or 2027, reflecting elevated inflation risks rather than acute financial stress. While a sharp labor-market deterioration or major systemic shock could still prompt an unscheduled move, current conditions and CME futures pricing limit those odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$105,161 वॉल्यूम
$105,161 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$105,161 वॉल्यूम
$105,161 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8 percent year-over-year amid energy price shocks from Middle East tensions, combined with a resilient labor market holding unemployment near 4.3 percent, underpin the 90.5 percent market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC has maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50 to 3.75 percent through its April meeting, with forward guidance emphasizing data-dependent policy and hawkish dissents signaling caution over premature easing. This aligns with broker forecasts pushing the first possible cuts into late 2026 or 2027, reflecting elevated inflation risks rather than acute financial stress. While a sharp labor-market deterioration or major systemic shock could still prompt an unscheduled move, current conditions and CME futures pricing limit those odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$105,161समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8 percent year-over-year amid energy price shocks from Middle East tensions, combined with a resilient labor market holding unemployment near 4.3 percent, underpin the 90.5 percent market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC has maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50 to 3.75 percent through its April meeting, with forward guidance emphasizing data-dependent policy and hawkish dissents signaling caution over premature easing. This aligns with broker forecasts pushing the first possible cuts into late 2026 or 2027, reflecting elevated inflation risks rather than acute financial stress. While a sharp labor-market deterioration or major systemic shock could still prompt an unscheduled move, current conditions and CME futures pricing limit those odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
वॉल्यूम
$105,161समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8 percent year-over-year amid energy price shocks from Middle East tensions, combined with a resilient labor market holding unemployment near 4.3 percent, underpin the 90.5 percent market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC has maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50 to 3.75 percent through its April meeting, with forward guidance emphasizing data-dependent policy and hawkish dissents signaling caution over premature easing. This aligns with broker forecasts pushing the first possible cuts into late 2026 or 2027, reflecting elevated inflation risks rather than acute financial stress. While a sharp labor-market deterioration or major systemic shock could still prompt an unscheduled move, current conditions and CME futures pricing limit those odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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