In Georgia’s 13th Congressional District special election triggered by the April 2026 death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott, the July 28 first-round contest featured an all-party ballot with multiple Democratic contenders, including Marcye Scott and Everton Blair, alongside lower-polling Republicans. The district’s strong Democratic lean historically favors one party nominee consolidating support, supporting trader expectations of a first-round majority. However, vote fragmentation among Democrats and the low Republican share reduced the likelihood of any candidate clearing 50 percent outright. Recent primary and polling patterns in similar safe Democratic seats, combined with the compressed special-election timeline, underpin the 62.8 percent implied probability for an outright winner while leaving room for runoff scenarios if support remains split.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
0% संभावना
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
हाँ
0% संभावना
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.In Georgia’s 13th Congressional District special election triggered by the April 2026 death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott, the July 28 first-round contest featured an all-party ballot with multiple Democratic contenders, including Marcye Scott and Everton Blair, alongside lower-polling Republicans. The district’s strong Democratic lean historically favors one party nominee consolidating support, supporting trader expectations of a first-round majority. However, vote fragmentation among Democrats and the low Republican share reduced the likelihood of any candidate clearing 50 percent outright. Recent primary and polling patterns in similar safe Democratic seats, combined with the compressed special-election timeline, underpin the 62.8 percent implied probability for an outright winner while leaving room for runoff scenarios if support remains split.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$478समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.In Georgia’s 13th Congressional District special election triggered by the April 2026 death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott, the July 28 first-round contest featured an all-party ballot with multiple Democratic contenders, including Marcye Scott and Everton Blair, alongside lower-polling Republicans. The district’s strong Democratic lean historically favors one party nominee consolidating support, supporting trader expectations of a first-round majority. However, vote fragmentation among Democrats and the low Republican share reduced the likelihood of any candidate clearing 50 percent outright. Recent primary and polling patterns in similar safe Democratic seats, combined with the compressed special-election timeline, underpin the 62.8 percent implied probability for an outright winner while leaving room for runoff scenarios if support remains split.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
वॉल्यूम
$478समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...In Georgia’s 13th Congressional District special election triggered by the April 2026 death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott, the July 28 first-round contest featured an all-party ballot with multiple Democratic contenders, including Marcye Scott and Everton Blair, alongside lower-polling Republicans. The district’s strong Democratic lean historically favors one party nominee consolidating support, supporting trader expectations of a first-round majority. However, vote fragmentation among Democrats and the low Republican share reduced the likelihood of any candidate clearing 50 percent outright. Recent primary and polling patterns in similar safe Democratic seats, combined with the compressed special-election timeline, underpin the 62.8 percent implied probability for an outright winner while leaving room for runoff scenarios if support remains split.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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