Incumbent Republican Jimmy Patronis defeated Democrat Gay Valimont and independent Tyler Davis in Florida’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, with preliminary results showing a roughly 26–30 point Republican margin of victory. Trader pricing, led by the 25–30% Republican bucket at 45.5% implied probability, aligns with the district’s long-standing Republican lean, Patronis’s primary win and fundraising advantage, and the absence of competitive polling throughout the cycle. The race remained non-competitive due to the seat’s structural advantages and limited Democratic investment, though final certification and any outstanding vote-count adjustments could still influence exact margin resolution.