The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked 9-3 toward acquittal on the Jessica Mann allegation, has sharply reinforced trader consensus around no additional prison time. With the former Hollywood producer already serving sentences from his California conviction and a prior New York count, the repeated inability to secure a new rape conviction has limited upside for longer terms, keeping the market-implied odds for “No Prison Time” dominant. Prosecutors will weigh a potential fourth trial at the June 24 hearing, yet historical patterns in this prolonged #MeToo case and Weinstein’s age continue to cap expectations for significant added years.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
हार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 79.0%
20-30 साल 7.8%
5 वर्ष से कम 5.3%
5-10 साल 3.4%
$995,574 वॉल्यूम
$995,574 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
79%
5 वर्ष से कम
5%
5-10 साल
3%
10-20 साल
3%
20-30 साल
8%
30+ साल
<1%
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 79.0%
20-30 साल 7.8%
5 वर्ष से कम 5.3%
5-10 साल 3.4%
$995,574 वॉल्यूम
$995,574 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
$350,362 वॉल्यूम
79%
5 वर्ष से कम
$131,517 वॉल्यूम
5%
5-10 साल
$80,577 वॉल्यूम
3%
10-20 साल
$159,560 वॉल्यूम
3%
20-30 साल
$201,202 वॉल्यूम
8%
30+ साल
$72,557 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked 9-3 toward acquittal on the Jessica Mann allegation, has sharply reinforced trader consensus around no additional prison time. With the former Hollywood producer already serving sentences from his California conviction and a prior New York count, the repeated inability to secure a new rape conviction has limited upside for longer terms, keeping the market-implied odds for “No Prison Time” dominant. Prosecutors will weigh a potential fourth trial at the June 24 hearing, yet historical patterns in this prolonged #MeToo case and Weinstein’s age continue to cap expectations for significant added years.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$995,574समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked 9-3 toward acquittal on the Jessica Mann allegation, has sharply reinforced trader consensus around no additional prison time. With the former Hollywood producer already serving sentences from his California conviction and a prior New York count, the repeated inability to secure a new rape conviction has limited upside for longer terms, keeping the market-implied odds for “No Prison Time” dominant. Prosecutors will weigh a potential fourth trial at the June 24 hearing, yet historical patterns in this prolonged #MeToo case and Weinstein’s age continue to cap expectations for significant added years.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$995,574समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked 9-3 toward acquittal on the Jessica Mann allegation, has sharply reinforced trader consensus around no additional prison time. With the former Hollywood producer already serving sentences from his California conviction and a prior New York count, the repeated inability to secure a new rape conviction has limited upside for longer terms, keeping the market-implied odds for “No Prison Time” dominant. Prosecutors will weigh a potential fourth trial at the June 24 hearing, yet historical patterns in this prolonged #MeToo case and Weinstein’s age continue to cap expectations for significant added years.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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