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icon for 2026 में मानवता की अंतिम परीक्षा पर क्लाउड का उच्चतम स्कोर?

2026 में मानवता की अंतिम परीक्षा पर क्लाउड का उच्चतम स्कोर?

icon for 2026 में मानवता की अंतिम परीक्षा पर क्लाउड का उच्चतम स्कोर?

2026 में मानवता की अंतिम परीक्षा पर क्लाउड का उच्चतम स्कोर?

नया
31 दिस, 2026
Polymarket

$390 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

55%+

$40 वॉल्यूम

69%

60%+

$70 वॉल्यूम

29%

65%+

$53 वॉल्यूम

26%

70%+

$159 वॉल्यूम

7%

75%+

$68 वॉल्यूम

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic's latest Claude variants, including Mythos 5 and Fable 5, currently lead Humanity's Last Exam leaderboards with scores reaching 64.5% and 53.3% respectively as of July 2026. This reflects strong gains from iterative releases emphasizing advanced reasoning, tool use, and adaptive thinking on the 2,500-question benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities. OpenAI's GPT-5 series and Google's Gemini models trail but remain competitive, while new Anthropic updates or rival launches at developer conferences could shift the frontier before year-end. Traders see Claude's edge in expert-level academic tasks as driving elevated odds for top scores through December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$390
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET

समाधान स्रोत

https://agi.safe.ai/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic's latest Claude variants, including Mythos 5 and Fable 5, currently lead Humanity's Last Exam leaderboards with scores reaching 64.5% and 53.3% respectively as of July 2026. This reflects strong gains from iterative releases emphasizing advanced reasoning, tool use, and adaptive thinking on the 2,500-question benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities. OpenAI's GPT-5 series and Google's Gemini models trail but remain competitive, while new Anthropic updates or rival launches at developer conferences could shift the frontier before year-end. Traders see Claude's edge in expert-level academic tasks as driving elevated odds for top scores through December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$390
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET

समाधान स्रोत

https://agi.safe.ai/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"2026 में मानवता की अंतिम परीक्षा पर क्लाउड का उच्चतम स्कोर?" Polymarket पर 5 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 55%+ 69% (69¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 60%+ 29% पर है।

"2026 में मानवता की अंतिम परीक्षा पर क्लाउड का उच्चतम स्कोर?" Polymarket पर एक नवनिर्मित बाज़ार है, Jul 23, 2026 को लॉन्च किया गया। एक शुरुआती बाज़ार के रूप में, यह पहले ट्रेडरों में शामिल होने और संभावनाएँ सेट करने और बाज़ार के शुरुआती मूल्य संकेत स्थापित करने का आपका अवसर है। आप समय के साथ बाज़ार की गति बढ़ने पर वॉल्यूम और ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि को ट्रैक करने के लिए इस पेज को बुकमार्क भी कर सकते हैं।

"2026 में मानवता की अंतिम परीक्षा पर क्लाउड का उच्चतम स्कोर?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 5 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"2026 में मानवता की अंतिम परीक्षा पर क्लाउड का उच्चतम स्कोर?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "55%+" 69% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "60%+" 29% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"2026 में मानवता की अंतिम परीक्षा पर क्लाउड का उच्चतम स्कोर?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।