Anthropic’s Claude models currently dominate Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with Claude Fable 5.1 at 65% and Opus 5 near 64.7% as of mid-September 2026 on verified benchmarks. Rapid gains stem from iterative releases emphasizing advanced reasoning, adaptive tool use, and chain-of-thought scaffolding on the 2,500-question expert benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Anthropic’s September disclosure that Claude now leads 26% of internal R&D—up from near zero earlier in the year—signals self-reinforcing acceleration in model development. Traders weigh this momentum against the benchmark’s design to resist saturation, potential regulatory or safety constraints on frontier training, and competition from OpenAI and Google systems that could narrow Anthropic’s edge before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$107,220 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
55%+
91%
60%+
42%
65%+
19%
70%+
13%
75%+
8%
$107,220 वॉल्यूम
55%+
$27,545 वॉल्यूम
91%
60%+
$45,384 वॉल्यूम
42%
65%+
$28,321 वॉल्यूम
19%
70%+
$4,458 वॉल्यूम
13%
75%+
$1,513 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude models currently dominate Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with Claude Fable 5.1 at 65% and Opus 5 near 64.7% as of mid-September 2026 on verified benchmarks. Rapid gains stem from iterative releases emphasizing advanced reasoning, adaptive tool use, and chain-of-thought scaffolding on the 2,500-question expert benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Anthropic’s September disclosure that Claude now leads 26% of internal R&D—up from near zero earlier in the year—signals self-reinforcing acceleration in model development. Traders weigh this momentum against the benchmark’s design to resist saturation, potential regulatory or safety constraints on frontier training, and competition from OpenAI and Google systems that could narrow Anthropic’s edge before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$107,220समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://agi.safe.ai/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude models currently dominate Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with Claude Fable 5.1 at 65% and Opus 5 near 64.7% as of mid-September 2026 on verified benchmarks. Rapid gains stem from iterative releases emphasizing advanced reasoning, adaptive tool use, and chain-of-thought scaffolding on the 2,500-question expert benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Anthropic’s September disclosure that Claude now leads 26% of internal R&D—up from near zero earlier in the year—signals self-reinforcing acceleration in model development. Traders weigh this momentum against the benchmark’s design to resist saturation, potential regulatory or safety constraints on frontier training, and competition from OpenAI and Google systems that could narrow Anthropic’s edge before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$107,220समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://agi.safe.ai/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude models currently dominate Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with Claude Fable 5.1 at 65% and Opus 5 near 64.7% as of mid-September 2026 on verified benchmarks. Rapid gains stem from iterative releases emphasizing advanced reasoning, adaptive tool use, and chain-of-thought scaffolding on the 2,500-question expert benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Anthropic’s September disclosure that Claude now leads 26% of internal R&D—up from near zero earlier in the year—signals self-reinforcing acceleration in model development. Traders weigh this momentum against the benchmark’s design to resist saturation, potential regulatory or safety constraints on frontier training, and competition from OpenAI and Google systems that could narrow Anthropic’s edge before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
क्या 2026 में 'ह्यूमैनिटीज़ लास्ट एग्जाम' में प्राप्त की गई सबसे अधिक स्कोर 60% या उससे अधिक होगी?
52%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में Humanity’s Last Exam में OpenAI मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त की गई सर्वोच्च स्कोर 55% या उससे अधिक होगी?
76%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में Humanity’s Last Exam पर किसी Meta मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त की गई सर्वोच्च स्कोर 55% या उससे अधिक होगी?
33%
हाँ
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