Google's Gemini models currently trail the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard, with variants like Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.8 Flash posting around 47-48% on recent text-only evaluations as of September 2026, behind Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 at 55-65%. Rapid benchmark progress—from single digits in early 2025 to the mid-40s and higher—stems from advances in multi-step reasoning and specialized knowledge across the 2,500 expert questions. Recent Gemini 3.8 Live and Extended Thinking releases emphasize agentic capabilities and dialogue, while frequent Flash iterations signal ongoing optimization. Traders watch for Gemini 4 pre-training and further reasoning-focused updates before year-end, as closing the gap with leaders depends on demonstrated gains in calibration and complex problem-solving rather than marketing claims.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$92,724 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
50%+
89%
55%+
40%
60%+
21%
65%+
12%
70%+
4%
$92,724 वॉल्यूम
50%+
$31,006 वॉल्यूम
89%
55%+
$36,413 वॉल्यूम
40%
60%+
$15,691 वॉल्यूम
21%
65%+
$5,256 वॉल्यूम
12%
70%+
$4,358 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Google's Gemini models currently trail the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard, with variants like Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.8 Flash posting around 47-48% on recent text-only evaluations as of September 2026, behind Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 at 55-65%. Rapid benchmark progress—from single digits in early 2025 to the mid-40s and higher—stems from advances in multi-step reasoning and specialized knowledge across the 2,500 expert questions. Recent Gemini 3.8 Live and Extended Thinking releases emphasize agentic capabilities and dialogue, while frequent Flash iterations signal ongoing optimization. Traders watch for Gemini 4 pre-training and further reasoning-focused updates before year-end, as closing the gap with leaders depends on demonstrated gains in calibration and complex problem-solving rather than marketing claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$92,724समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Google's Gemini models currently trail the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard, with variants like Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.8 Flash posting around 47-48% on recent text-only evaluations as of September 2026, behind Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 at 55-65%. Rapid benchmark progress—from single digits in early 2025 to the mid-40s and higher—stems from advances in multi-step reasoning and specialized knowledge across the 2,500 expert questions. Recent Gemini 3.8 Live and Extended Thinking releases emphasize agentic capabilities and dialogue, while frequent Flash iterations signal ongoing optimization. Traders watch for Gemini 4 pre-training and further reasoning-focused updates before year-end, as closing the gap with leaders depends on demonstrated gains in calibration and complex problem-solving rather than marketing claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$92,724समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Google's Gemini models currently trail the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard, with variants like Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.8 Flash posting around 47-48% on recent text-only evaluations as of September 2026, behind Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 at 55-65%. Rapid benchmark progress—from single digits in early 2025 to the mid-40s and higher—stems from advances in multi-step reasoning and specialized knowledge across the 2,500 expert questions. Recent Gemini 3.8 Live and Extended Thinking releases emphasize agentic capabilities and dialogue, while frequent Flash iterations signal ongoing optimization. Traders watch for Gemini 4 pre-training and further reasoning-focused updates before year-end, as closing the gap with leaders depends on demonstrated gains in calibration and complex problem-solving rather than marketing claims.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
क्या 2026 में 'ह्यूमैनिटीज़ लास्ट एग्जाम' में प्राप्त की गई सबसे अधिक स्कोर 60% या उससे अधिक होगी?
42%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में Humanity’s Last Exam में OpenAI मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त की गई सर्वोच्च स्कोर 55% या उससे अधिक होगी?
78%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में Humanity’s Last Exam पर किसी Meta मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त की गई सर्वोच्च स्कोर 55% या उससे अधिक होगी?
26%
हाँ
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