Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus 5/Mythos 5 releases have driven current trader sentiment by posting the highest verified HLE scores, reaching 59–65% on September 2026 leaderboards from BenchLM and Artificial Analysis. These gains stem from targeted advances in multi-step reasoning and adaptive tool use on the 2,500-question expert benchmark, which emphasizes frontier academic knowledge across math, sciences, and humanities while resisting saturation. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 sits close behind at ~62%, while OpenAI GPT-5.4/6 variants and Google Gemini models trail in the mid-to-high 50s or lower. With three months left in 2026, key catalysts include further model iterations, expanded tool integration, and any new releases that could push the frontier past 65–70% before resolution. Traders monitor official Scale/CAIS and Artificial Analysis updates for protocol-consistent results.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$72,871 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
60%+
45%
65%+
29%
70%+
14%
75%+
13%
80%+
7%
90%+
5%
$72,871 वॉल्यूम
60%+
$41,903 वॉल्यूम
45%
65%+
$16,633 वॉल्यूम
29%
70%+
$6,485 वॉल्यूम
14%
75%+
$3,674 वॉल्यूम
13%
80%+
$1,710 वॉल्यूम
7%
90%+
$2,465 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus 5/Mythos 5 releases have driven current trader sentiment by posting the highest verified HLE scores, reaching 59–65% on September 2026 leaderboards from BenchLM and Artificial Analysis. These gains stem from targeted advances in multi-step reasoning and adaptive tool use on the 2,500-question expert benchmark, which emphasizes frontier academic knowledge across math, sciences, and humanities while resisting saturation. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 sits close behind at ~62%, while OpenAI GPT-5.4/6 variants and Google Gemini models trail in the mid-to-high 50s or lower. With three months left in 2026, key catalysts include further model iterations, expanded tool integration, and any new releases that could push the frontier past 65–70% before resolution. Traders monitor official Scale/CAIS and Artificial Analysis updates for protocol-consistent results.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$72,871समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://agi.safe.ai/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus 5/Mythos 5 releases have driven current trader sentiment by posting the highest verified HLE scores, reaching 59–65% on September 2026 leaderboards from BenchLM and Artificial Analysis. These gains stem from targeted advances in multi-step reasoning and adaptive tool use on the 2,500-question expert benchmark, which emphasizes frontier academic knowledge across math, sciences, and humanities while resisting saturation. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 sits close behind at ~62%, while OpenAI GPT-5.4/6 variants and Google Gemini models trail in the mid-to-high 50s or lower. With three months left in 2026, key catalysts include further model iterations, expanded tool integration, and any new releases that could push the frontier past 65–70% before resolution. Traders monitor official Scale/CAIS and Artificial Analysis updates for protocol-consistent results.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$72,871समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://agi.safe.ai/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus 5/Mythos 5 releases have driven current trader sentiment by posting the highest verified HLE scores, reaching 59–65% on September 2026 leaderboards from BenchLM and Artificial Analysis. These gains stem from targeted advances in multi-step reasoning and adaptive tool use on the 2,500-question expert benchmark, which emphasizes frontier academic knowledge across math, sciences, and humanities while resisting saturation. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 sits close behind at ~62%, while OpenAI GPT-5.4/6 variants and Google Gemini models trail in the mid-to-high 50s or lower. With three months left in 2026, key catalysts include further model iterations, expanded tool integration, and any new releases that could push the frontier past 65–70% before resolution. Traders monitor official Scale/CAIS and Artificial Analysis updates for protocol-consistent results.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
क्या 2026 में Humanity’s Last Exam में OpenAI मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त की गई सर्वोच्च स्कोर 55% या उससे अधिक होगी?
77%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में Humanity’s Last Exam पर किसी Meta मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त की गई सर्वोच्च स्कोर 55% या उससे अधिक होगी?
33%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में ह्युमैनिटीज़ लास्ट एग्ज़ाम में ऐन्थ्रॉपिक क्लॉड मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त किया गया सर्वोच्च स्कोर 55% या उससे अधिक होगा?
90%
हाँ
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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