Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show the strongest consensus for a Beijing maximum temperature near 29–30 °C on July 10, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors warm, subsiding air, modulated by variable low-level moisture and the timing of any diurnal convection or sea-breeze effects. Small probability spreads between adjacent bins reflect typical model spread in afternoon peak temperature driven by uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island intensity. Updated high-resolution runs and ensemble guidance expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these implied odds as the event approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 जुलाई को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
10 जुलाई को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C या उससे कम 43.9%
28°C 31.4%
29°C 17%
30°C 9%
नया
$67,955 वॉल्यूम
नया
$67,955 वॉल्यूम
10 जुल, 2026
27°C या उससे कम
44%
28°C
31%
29°C
17%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
27°C या उससे कम 43.9%
28°C 31.4%
29°C 17%
30°C 9%
नया
$67,955 वॉल्यूम
नया
$67,955 वॉल्यूम
10 जुल, 2026
27°C या उससे कम
$7,841 वॉल्यूम
44%
28°C
$4,171 वॉल्यूम
31%
29°C
$4,993 वॉल्यूम
17%
30°C
$7,087 वॉल्यूम
9%
31°C
$9,341 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C
$8,044 वॉल्यूम
<1%
33°C
$8,599 वॉल्यूम
<1%
34°C
$7,814 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C
$6,030 वॉल्यूम
<1%
36°C
$1,703 वॉल्यूम
<1%
37°C या उससे अधिक
$2,600 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show the strongest consensus for a Beijing maximum temperature near 29–30 °C on July 10, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors warm, subsiding air, modulated by variable low-level moisture and the timing of any diurnal convection or sea-breeze effects. Small probability spreads between adjacent bins reflect typical model spread in afternoon peak temperature driven by uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island intensity. Updated high-resolution runs and ensemble guidance expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these implied odds as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$67,955समाप्ति तिथि
10 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show the strongest consensus for a Beijing maximum temperature near 29–30 °C on July 10, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors warm, subsiding air, modulated by variable low-level moisture and the timing of any diurnal convection or sea-breeze effects. Small probability spreads between adjacent bins reflect typical model spread in afternoon peak temperature driven by uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island intensity. Updated high-resolution runs and ensemble guidance expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these implied odds as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$67,955समाप्ति तिथि
10 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show the strongest consensus for a Beijing maximum temperature near 29–30 °C on July 10, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors warm, subsiding air, modulated by variable low-level moisture and the timing of any diurnal convection or sea-breeze effects. Small probability spreads between adjacent bins reflect typical model spread in afternoon peak temperature driven by uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island intensity. Updated high-resolution runs and ensemble guidance expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these implied odds as the event approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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