Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया11 जुलाई को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 25%
29°C 21%
31°C 21%
28°C 13%
$13,032 वॉल्यूम
$13,032 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
10%
28°C
13%
29°C
21%
30°C
25%
31°C
21%
32°C
8%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 25%
29°C 21%
31°C 21%
28°C 13%
$13,032 वॉल्यूम
$13,032 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
10%
28°C
13%
29°C
21%
30°C
25%
31°C
21%
32°C
8%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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