Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration highlights variable high-pressure ridging and limited afternoon convection as the main drivers behind market-implied odds clustering around 36–37 °C for Chengdu’s August 10 high. These conditions favor stronger daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin, where topographic trapping of warm, humid air can push readings several degrees above the 30–34 °C climatological average. Traders weigh the risk of scattered thunderstorms or increased cloud cover that would cap maxima near 35 °C, producing the tight 37 %–30 % split between the top outcomes. Updated ensemble runs and satellite-derived moisture profiles expected over the next 48 hours will further refine the temperature ceiling ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 अगस्त को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
10 अगस्त को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
36°C 37%
37°C 30%
35°C 18%
38°C 12%
नया
नया
10 अग, 2026
29°C या उससे कम
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
4%
34°C
5%
35°C
18%
36°C
37%
37°C
30%
38°C
12%
39°C या उससे अधिक
4%
36°C 37%
37°C 30%
35°C 18%
38°C 12%
नया
नया
10 अग, 2026
29°C या उससे कम
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$45 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
2%
32°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
4%
33°C
$6 वॉल्यूम
4%
34°C
$12 वॉल्यूम
5%
35°C
$11 वॉल्यूम
18%
36°C
$64 वॉल्यूम
37%
37°C
$44 वॉल्यूम
30%
38°C
$112 वॉल्यूम
12%
39°C या उससे अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration highlights variable high-pressure ridging and limited afternoon convection as the main drivers behind market-implied odds clustering around 36–37 °C for Chengdu’s August 10 high. These conditions favor stronger daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin, where topographic trapping of warm, humid air can push readings several degrees above the 30–34 °C climatological average. Traders weigh the risk of scattered thunderstorms or increased cloud cover that would cap maxima near 35 °C, producing the tight 37 %–30 % split between the top outcomes. Updated ensemble runs and satellite-derived moisture profiles expected over the next 48 hours will further refine the temperature ceiling ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$329समाप्ति तिथि
10 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration highlights variable high-pressure ridging and limited afternoon convection as the main drivers behind market-implied odds clustering around 36–37 °C for Chengdu’s August 10 high. These conditions favor stronger daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin, where topographic trapping of warm, humid air can push readings several degrees above the 30–34 °C climatological average. Traders weigh the risk of scattered thunderstorms or increased cloud cover that would cap maxima near 35 °C, producing the tight 37 %–30 % split between the top outcomes. Updated ensemble runs and satellite-derived moisture profiles expected over the next 48 hours will further refine the temperature ceiling ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$329समाप्ति तिथि
10 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration highlights variable high-pressure ridging and limited afternoon convection as the main drivers behind market-implied odds clustering around 36–37 °C for Chengdu’s August 10 high. These conditions favor stronger daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin, where topographic trapping of warm, humid air can push readings several degrees above the 30–34 °C climatological average. Traders weigh the risk of scattered thunderstorms or increased cloud cover that would cap maxima near 35 °C, producing the tight 37 %–30 % split between the top outcomes. Updated ensemble runs and satellite-derived moisture profiles expected over the next 48 hours will further refine the temperature ceiling ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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