Current forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 13°C for Wellington on August 8, driven by northwesterly flow and easing showers that limit daytime warming while preventing sharp cooling. This aligns with the seasonal near-average temperature outlook from NIWA, where August climatology centers on highs of 12–13°C. Model consensus supports 13°C as the base case, with 14°C remaining plausible if winds strengthen or cloud cover decreases, explaining the market-implied probabilities of 52.5% for 13°C and 37% for 14°C. Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया8 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13°C 51%
14°C 38%
12°C 8%
15°C 6%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
51%
14°C
38%
15°C
6%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
2%
13°C 51%
14°C 38%
12°C 8%
15°C 6%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
51%
14°C
38%
15°C
6%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 13°C for Wellington on August 8, driven by northwesterly flow and easing showers that limit daytime warming while preventing sharp cooling. This aligns with the seasonal near-average temperature outlook from NIWA, where August climatology centers on highs of 12–13°C. Model consensus supports 13°C as the base case, with 14°C remaining plausible if winds strengthen or cloud cover decreases, explaining the market-implied probabilities of 52.5% for 13°C and 37% for 14°C. Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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