Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Shanghai's peak temperature on August 6 centering on 33–34°C amid typical August subtropical high pressure and monsoon influences. This narrow spread between the top two market-implied outcomes reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty, with small shifts in steering patterns, humidity levels, or urban heat island effects capable of tipping the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August baselines for the city average near 32–33°C, but recent model runs emphasize modest warming from clear skies and light winds. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour updates for any divergence in guidance on afternoon convection or sea-breeze moderation before the market resolves.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 42%
34°C 35%
32°C 14%
31°C 5%
$11,409 वॉल्यूम
$11,409 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
42%
34°C
35%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 42%
34°C 35%
32°C 14%
31°C 5%
$11,409 वॉल्यूम
$11,409 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
42%
34°C
35%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Shanghai's peak temperature on August 6 centering on 33–34°C amid typical August subtropical high pressure and monsoon influences. This narrow spread between the top two market-implied outcomes reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty, with small shifts in steering patterns, humidity levels, or urban heat island effects capable of tipping the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August baselines for the city average near 32–33°C, but recent model runs emphasize modest warming from clear skies and light winds. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour updates for any divergence in guidance on afternoon convection or sea-breeze moderation before the market resolves.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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