Traders see nearly even odds between 31°C and 33°C because Shenzhen’s August 5 maximum hinges on subtle differences in daytime cloud cover, sea-breeze strength from the South China Sea, and urban heat-island intensity. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and regional models show a typical summer baseline near 32°C, but scattered showers or increased humidity can cap readings at 31°C, while clearer skies allow brief spikes to 33°C. With resolution based on the single highest official reading, any late-day shift in convection or wind direction could decide the outcome; the tight spread reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty rather than any dominant trend.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को शेन्ज़ेन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 54%
32°C 30%
33°C 11%
34°C 10%
$76,999 वॉल्यूम
$76,999 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
54%
32°C
30%
33°C
11%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 54%
32°C 30%
33°C 11%
34°C 10%
$76,999 वॉल्यूम
$76,999 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
54%
32°C
30%
33°C
11%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see nearly even odds between 31°C and 33°C because Shenzhen’s August 5 maximum hinges on subtle differences in daytime cloud cover, sea-breeze strength from the South China Sea, and urban heat-island intensity. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and regional models show a typical summer baseline near 32°C, but scattered showers or increased humidity can cap readings at 31°C, while clearer skies allow brief spikes to 33°C. With resolution based on the single highest official reading, any late-day shift in convection or wind direction could decide the outcome; the tight spread reflects this narrow scientific uncertainty rather than any dominant trend.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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