Current forecast models indicate a Tokyo maximum temperature of 29–32°C on August 5, driven by expected cloud cover and scattered showers that will limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions, typical of early-August monsoon influences, introduce uncertainty around peak values, with official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency showing a normal of 31.8°C but recent runs favoring slightly suppressed highs. Humidity near 70–80% further modulates the outcome, while steering patterns and shower timing remain the key variables that could shift the realized maximum. Trader consensus closely tracks these model spreads, with new updates from agencies likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 36%
30°C 33%
29°C 18%
32°C 15%
$34,308 वॉल्यूम
$34,308 वॉल्यूम
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
18%
30°C
33%
31°C
36%
32°C
15%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 33%
29°C 18%
32°C 15%
$34,308 वॉल्यूम
$34,308 वॉल्यूम
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
18%
30°C
33%
31°C
36%
32°C
15%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a Tokyo maximum temperature of 29–32°C on August 5, driven by expected cloud cover and scattered showers that will limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions, typical of early-August monsoon influences, introduce uncertainty around peak values, with official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency showing a normal of 31.8°C but recent runs favoring slightly suppressed highs. Humidity near 70–80% further modulates the outcome, while steering patterns and shower timing remain the key variables that could shift the realized maximum. Trader consensus closely tracks these model spreads, with new updates from agencies likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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