Current model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 6 under mostly clear skies, stable subtropical high pressure, and moderate northerly flow typical of early August Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea breezes are expected to limit further warming despite peak solar insolation, keeping values within the historical one-standard-deviation range around the 30–31°C August average. Trader positioning around 32°C (61.5% implied probability) and 33°C (28.5%) reflects this tight forecast spread, with limited upside risk from model revisions or reduced mixing; resolution will hinge on the official peak reading from the primary station before evening cooling begins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को तेल अवीव में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 61%
33°C 29%
31°C 6%
34°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
61%
33°C
29%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 61%
33°C 29%
31°C 6%
34°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
61%
33°C
29%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 6 under mostly clear skies, stable subtropical high pressure, and moderate northerly flow typical of early August Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea breezes are expected to limit further warming despite peak solar insolation, keeping values within the historical one-standard-deviation range around the 30–31°C August average. Trader positioning around 32°C (61.5% implied probability) and 33°C (28.5%) reflects this tight forecast spread, with limited upside risk from model revisions or reduced mixing; resolution will hinge on the official peak reading from the primary station before evening cooling begins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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