Current National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 75°F under sunny conditions with west-southwest winds, consistent with the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for a 72-73°F peak. This positioning reflects San Francisco's characteristic marine influence, where coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and the persistent summer marine layer moderate temperatures well below inland norms, aligning with August climatology of highs typically between 65-73°F. Trader consensus incorporates real-time model runs showing limited warming potential today. A stronger offshore flow or delayed marine layer could push readings into the mid-70s, while earlier fog or stronger onshore winds would cap them lower; official KSFO observations will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
4 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
72-73°F 98%
74-75°F 2%
76-77°F <1%
67°F या उससे कम <1%
$44,152 वॉल्यूम
$44,152 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
67°F या उससे कम
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
98%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
72-73°F 98%
74-75°F 2%
76-77°F <1%
67°F या उससे कम <1%
$44,152 वॉल्यूम
$44,152 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
67°F या उससे कम
$1,466 वॉल्यूम
<1%
68-69°F
$1,620 वॉल्यूम
<1%
70-71°F
$5,959 वॉल्यूम
<1%
72-73°F
$8,261 वॉल्यूम
98%
74-75°F
$3,398 वॉल्यूम
2%
76-77°F
$3,455 वॉल्यूम
1%
78-79°F
$3,952 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80-81°F
$5,267 वॉल्यूम
<1%
82-83°F
$4,037 वॉल्यूम
<1%
84-85°F
$4,417 वॉल्यूम
<1%
86°F या उससे अधिक
$2,319 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 75°F under sunny conditions with west-southwest winds, consistent with the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for a 72-73°F peak. This positioning reflects San Francisco's characteristic marine influence, where coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and the persistent summer marine layer moderate temperatures well below inland norms, aligning with August climatology of highs typically between 65-73°F. Trader consensus incorporates real-time model runs showing limited warming potential today. A stronger offshore flow or delayed marine layer could push readings into the mid-70s, while earlier fog or stronger onshore winds would cap them lower; official KSFO observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$44,152समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 75°F under sunny conditions with west-southwest winds, consistent with the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for a 72-73°F peak. This positioning reflects San Francisco's characteristic marine influence, where coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and the persistent summer marine layer moderate temperatures well below inland norms, aligning with August climatology of highs typically between 65-73°F. Trader consensus incorporates real-time model runs showing limited warming potential today. A stronger offshore flow or delayed marine layer could push readings into the mid-70s, while earlier fog or stronger onshore winds would cap them lower; official KSFO observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$44,152समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 75°F under sunny conditions with west-southwest winds, consistent with the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for a 72-73°F peak. This positioning reflects San Francisco's characteristic marine influence, where coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and the persistent summer marine layer moderate temperatures well below inland norms, aligning with August climatology of highs typically between 65-73°F. Trader consensus incorporates real-time model runs showing limited warming potential today. A stronger offshore flow or delayed marine layer could push readings into the mid-70s, while earlier fog or stronger onshore winds would cap them lower; official KSFO observations will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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