Trader consensus heavily favors a 9°C daily maximum in Wellington on August 5 due to official MetService and NIWA forecasts projecting light winds, possible cloud cover, and limited warm advection under near-average or slightly below-average winter conditions typical for early August. Climatological baselines show Wellington highs clustering near 11–12°C this time of year, with day-to-day variability driven by Southern Ocean air masses and Cook Strait influences. Recent model runs align closely on this narrow range, consistent with the seasonal outlook indicating near-average temperatures across the region. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift to stronger northerly flow or enhanced insolation, potentially lifting readings to 10°C or higher before official observations finalize.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
9°C 95%
10°C 5%
11°C <1%
3°C or below <1%
$173,199 वॉल्यूम
$173,199 वॉल्यूम
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
95%
10°C
5%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C or higher
<1%
9°C 95%
10°C 5%
11°C <1%
3°C or below <1%
$173,199 वॉल्यूम
$173,199 वॉल्यूम
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
95%
10°C
5%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 9°C daily maximum in Wellington on August 5 due to official MetService and NIWA forecasts projecting light winds, possible cloud cover, and limited warm advection under near-average or slightly below-average winter conditions typical for early August. Climatological baselines show Wellington highs clustering near 11–12°C this time of year, with day-to-day variability driven by Southern Ocean air masses and Cook Strait influences. Recent model runs align closely on this narrow range, consistent with the seasonal outlook indicating near-average temperatures across the region. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift to stronger northerly flow or enhanced insolation, potentially lifting readings to 10°C or higher before official observations finalize.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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