Traders have converged on 10°C as the near-certain outcome for Wellington’s daily maximum on August 6, 2026, reflecting short-range numerical weather predictions that consistently show a peak near this value under cool, breezy northerly flow. August climatology places typical highs around 12°C, yet recent model runs and MetService guidance indicate below-average conditions persisting through the day, with overnight lows near 4–5°C limiting daytime recovery. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the central North Island region supports near-average or cooler temperatures through the winter month. Resolution hinges on official observations meeting the exact 10°C threshold rather than adjacent bands. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, though current atmospheric setup makes significant deviation unlikely before markets close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$123,178 वॉल्यूम
$123,178 वॉल्यूम
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$123,178 वॉल्यूम
$123,178 वॉल्यूम
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Traders have converged on 10°C as the near-certain outcome for Wellington’s daily maximum on August 6, 2026, reflecting short-range numerical weather predictions that consistently show a peak near this value under cool, breezy northerly flow. August climatology places typical highs around 12°C, yet recent model runs and MetService guidance indicate below-average conditions persisting through the day, with overnight lows near 4–5°C limiting daytime recovery. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the central North Island region supports near-average or cooler temperatures through the winter month. Resolution hinges on official observations meeting the exact 10°C threshold rather than adjacent bands. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, though current atmospheric setup makes significant deviation unlikely before markets close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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