Persistent high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula, combined with clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong August solar insolation, supports daytime maxima centered near 37–38°C for Madrid on August 7 according to recent AEMET and ECMWF guidance. These conditions sustain the fourth heatwave of 2026, with warm-air advection from North Africa reinforcing above-normal warmth across central Spain. Model consensus and current observational trends position 38°C as the most probable outcome (46.5% implied probability), followed by 39°C (27.5%), while probabilities drop sharply below 36°C or above 40°C due to limited intensification potential before any frontal passage. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया7 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
7 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
38°C 47%
39°C 27%
40°C 10%
37°C 10%
नया
नया
7 अग, 2026
35°C or below
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
10%
38°C
47%
39°C
27%
40°C
10%
41°C
2%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 47%
39°C 27%
40°C 10%
37°C 10%
नया
नया
7 अग, 2026
35°C or below
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
36°C
$9 वॉल्यूम
4%
37°C
$21 वॉल्यूम
10%
38°C
$152 वॉल्यूम
47%
39°C
$35 वॉल्यूम
27%
40°C
$29 वॉल्यूम
10%
41°C
$73 वॉल्यूम
2%
42°C
$60 वॉल्यूम
1%
43°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
<1%
44°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
<1%
45°C or higher
$10 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula, combined with clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong August solar insolation, supports daytime maxima centered near 37–38°C for Madrid on August 7 according to recent AEMET and ECMWF guidance. These conditions sustain the fourth heatwave of 2026, with warm-air advection from North Africa reinforcing above-normal warmth across central Spain. Model consensus and current observational trends position 38°C as the most probable outcome (46.5% implied probability), followed by 39°C (27.5%), while probabilities drop sharply below 36°C or above 40°C due to limited intensification potential before any frontal passage. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$419समाप्ति तिथि
7 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula, combined with clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong August solar insolation, supports daytime maxima centered near 37–38°C for Madrid on August 7 according to recent AEMET and ECMWF guidance. These conditions sustain the fourth heatwave of 2026, with warm-air advection from North Africa reinforcing above-normal warmth across central Spain. Model consensus and current observational trends position 38°C as the most probable outcome (46.5% implied probability), followed by 39°C (27.5%), while probabilities drop sharply below 36°C or above 40°C due to limited intensification potential before any frontal passage. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$419समाप्ति तिथि
7 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula, combined with clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong August solar insolation, supports daytime maxima centered near 37–38°C for Madrid on August 7 according to recent AEMET and ECMWF guidance. These conditions sustain the fourth heatwave of 2026, with warm-air advection from North Africa reinforcing above-normal warmth across central Spain. Model consensus and current observational trends position 38°C as the most probable outcome (46.5% implied probability), followed by 39°C (27.5%), while probabilities drop sharply below 36°C or above 40°C due to limited intensification potential before any frontal passage. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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