Recent forecast guidance from Spain’s AEMET and supporting European models shows Madrid under stable high pressure with abundant sunshine and light winds, favoring a daytime maximum near 36 °C on 5 August. This aligns with climatological peaks for early August, when peak solar insolation and the urban heat-island effect routinely push central Spain into the mid-30s °C. Ensemble runs exhibit limited spread, with only modest uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and any localized cloud development that could shave a degree or two. The resulting market-implied odds place 36 °C well ahead of 35 °C and 37 °C, reflecting trader consensus on the most probable outcome within the narrow resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
36°C 74%
35°C 17%
37°C 11%
38°C <1%
$32,135 वॉल्यूम
$32,135 वॉल्यूम
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
17%
36°C
74%
37°C
11%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 74%
35°C 17%
37°C 11%
38°C <1%
$32,135 वॉल्यूम
$32,135 वॉल्यूम
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
17%
36°C
74%
37°C
11%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Spain’s AEMET and supporting European models shows Madrid under stable high pressure with abundant sunshine and light winds, favoring a daytime maximum near 36 °C on 5 August. This aligns with climatological peaks for early August, when peak solar insolation and the urban heat-island effect routinely push central Spain into the mid-30s °C. Ensemble runs exhibit limited spread, with only modest uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and any localized cloud development that could shave a degree or two. The resulting market-implied odds place 36 °C well ahead of 35 °C and 37 °C, reflecting trader consensus on the most probable outcome within the narrow resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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