**Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on August 5, 2026 (52.5% implied probability), followed by 33°C (25.5%) and 31°C (17.5%).** These probabilities reflect the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 26–31°C or 27–32°C under sunny intervals with showers, combined with typical August climatology where average highs reach ~31°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Seasonal outlooks for August–October 2026 indicate normal to above-normal temperatures driven by long-term climate warming trends, supporting the slight edge for 32–33°C outcomes. Recent model guidance and short-range forecasts show limited potential for stronger heating or convective cooling that would shift the maximum outside the 31–33°C range, keeping lower and higher extremes at minimal odds. The market aggregates real-capital assessments of official HKO maximum temperature resolution criteria, which prioritize verified observations over models.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
5 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 53%
31°C 30%
33°C 16%
34°C 4%
नया
$157,227 वॉल्यूम
नया
$157,227 वॉल्यूम
5 अग, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
30%
32°C
53%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
31°C 30%
33°C 16%
34°C 4%
नया
$157,227 वॉल्यूम
नया
$157,227 वॉल्यूम
5 अग, 2026
27°C or below
$7,308 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$5,723 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$14,674 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$34,722 वॉल्यूम
2%
31°C
$16,505 वॉल्यूम
30%
32°C
$18,957 वॉल्यूम
53%
33°C
$18,525 वॉल्यूम
16%
34°C
$15,138 वॉल्यूम
4%
35°C
$12,314 वॉल्यूम
1%
36°C
$7,003 वॉल्यूम
<1%
37°C or higher
$6,358 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on August 5, 2026 (52.5% implied probability), followed by 33°C (25.5%) and 31°C (17.5%).** These probabilities reflect the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 26–31°C or 27–32°C under sunny intervals with showers, combined with typical August climatology where average highs reach ~31°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Seasonal outlooks for August–October 2026 indicate normal to above-normal temperatures driven by long-term climate warming trends, supporting the slight edge for 32–33°C outcomes. Recent model guidance and short-range forecasts show limited potential for stronger heating or convective cooling that would shift the maximum outside the 31–33°C range, keeping lower and higher extremes at minimal odds. The market aggregates real-capital assessments of official HKO maximum temperature resolution criteria, which prioritize verified observations over models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$157,227समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on August 5, 2026 (52.5% implied probability), followed by 33°C (25.5%) and 31°C (17.5%).** These probabilities reflect the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 26–31°C or 27–32°C under sunny intervals with showers, combined with typical August climatology where average highs reach ~31°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Seasonal outlooks for August–October 2026 indicate normal to above-normal temperatures driven by long-term climate warming trends, supporting the slight edge for 32–33°C outcomes. Recent model guidance and short-range forecasts show limited potential for stronger heating or convective cooling that would shift the maximum outside the 31–33°C range, keeping lower and higher extremes at minimal odds. The market aggregates real-capital assessments of official HKO maximum temperature resolution criteria, which prioritize verified observations over models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$157,227समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on August 5, 2026 (52.5% implied probability), followed by 33°C (25.5%) and 31°C (17.5%).** These probabilities reflect the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 26–31°C or 27–32°C under sunny intervals with showers, combined with typical August climatology where average highs reach ~31°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Seasonal outlooks for August–October 2026 indicate normal to above-normal temperatures driven by long-term climate warming trends, supporting the slight edge for 32–33°C outcomes. Recent model guidance and short-range forecasts show limited potential for stronger heating or convective cooling that would shift the maximum outside the 31–33°C range, keeping lower and higher extremes at minimal odds. The market aggregates real-capital assessments of official HKO maximum temperature resolution criteria, which prioritize verified observations over models.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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