**Recent forecast updates from NOAA, NHC, and local models show Houston highs moderating to the mid-90s on August 6 after a brief early-August heat surge.** The dominant upper-level ridge that drove triple-digit readings late last week is weakening and shifting westward, allowing slightly cooler, more humid air and a stronger sea-breeze influence to cap daytime peaks. Ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and GFS consensus places the most likely maximum between 93 °F and 96 °F, consistent with climatological August averages near 94 °F and the current steering pattern that favors onshore flow. Market-implied probabilities cluster around the 94–97 °F bins because these align with the latest official forecast ranges and historical analogs for early-August conditions under a weakening ridge. Lower outcomes (92–93 °F) receive support from any further strengthening of the sea breeze or increased cloud cover, while the slim odds above 98 °F reflect the low but non-zero chance that the ridge lingers longer than expected. Upcoming National Weather Service short-range updates and the 12Z model runs will be the next key data points that could shift the distribution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को ह्यूस्टन में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
6 अगस्त को ह्यूस्टन में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
94-95°F 42%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 19%
98-99°F 5%
नया
नया
6 अग, 2026
85°F या उससे कम
2%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
42%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
2%
104°F या उससे अधिक
2%
94-95°F 42%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 19%
98-99°F 5%
नया
नया
6 अग, 2026
85°F या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
86-87°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
88-89°F
$28 वॉल्यूम
4%
90-91°F
$7 वॉल्यूम
4%
92-93°F
$26 वॉल्यूम
19%
94-95°F
$9 वॉल्यूम
42%
96-97°F
$96 वॉल्यूम
30%
98-99°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
100-101°F
$28 वॉल्यूम
3%
102-103°F
$28 वॉल्यूम
2%
104°F या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast updates from NOAA, NHC, and local models show Houston highs moderating to the mid-90s on August 6 after a brief early-August heat surge.** The dominant upper-level ridge that drove triple-digit readings late last week is weakening and shifting westward, allowing slightly cooler, more humid air and a stronger sea-breeze influence to cap daytime peaks. Ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and GFS consensus places the most likely maximum between 93 °F and 96 °F, consistent with climatological August averages near 94 °F and the current steering pattern that favors onshore flow.
Market-implied probabilities cluster around the 94–97 °F bins because these align with the latest official forecast ranges and historical analogs for early-August conditions under a weakening ridge. Lower outcomes (92–93 °F) receive support from any further strengthening of the sea breeze or increased cloud cover, while the slim odds above 98 °F reflect the low but non-zero chance that the ridge lingers longer than expected. Upcoming National Weather Service short-range updates and the 12Z model runs will be the next key data points that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$221समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast updates from NOAA, NHC, and local models show Houston highs moderating to the mid-90s on August 6 after a brief early-August heat surge.** The dominant upper-level ridge that drove triple-digit readings late last week is weakening and shifting westward, allowing slightly cooler, more humid air and a stronger sea-breeze influence to cap daytime peaks. Ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and GFS consensus places the most likely maximum between 93 °F and 96 °F, consistent with climatological August averages near 94 °F and the current steering pattern that favors onshore flow.
Market-implied probabilities cluster around the 94–97 °F bins because these align with the latest official forecast ranges and historical analogs for early-August conditions under a weakening ridge. Lower outcomes (92–93 °F) receive support from any further strengthening of the sea breeze or increased cloud cover, while the slim odds above 98 °F reflect the low but non-zero chance that the ridge lingers longer than expected. Upcoming National Weather Service short-range updates and the 12Z model runs will be the next key data points that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$221समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast updates from NOAA, NHC, and local models show Houston highs moderating to the mid-90s on August 6 after a brief early-August heat surge.** The dominant upper-level ridge that drove triple-digit readings late last week is weakening and shifting westward, allowing slightly cooler, more humid air and a stronger sea-breeze influence to cap daytime peaks. Ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and GFS consensus places the most likely maximum between 93 °F and 96 °F, consistent with climatological August averages near 94 °F and the current steering pattern that favors onshore flow. Market-implied probabilities cluster around the 94–97 °F bins because these align with the latest official forecast ranges and historical analogs for early-August conditions under a weakening ridge. Lower outcomes (92–93 °F) receive support from any further strengthening of the sea breeze or increased cloud cover, while the slim odds above 98 °F reflect the low but non-zero chance that the ridge lingers longer than expected. Upcoming National Weather Service short-range updates and the 12Z model runs will be the next key data points that could shift the distribution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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