Market-implied odds favor a peak of 34–35°C or higher in Chengdu today, reflecting typical early-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin where subtropical monsoon patterns and topographic heat trapping often produce daytime maxima around 30–34°C. High humidity amplifies perceived heat, while recent years show an upward trend in days exceeding 35°C linked to broader warming, pushing the 35°C+ bracket to near-even money. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate modest variability from cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap or elevate readings, with traders incorporating model consensus on minimal cooling from frontal systems. Historical baselines place August averages near 31°C, yet increasing extreme-heat frequency supports the current distribution ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
35°C or higher 48%
34°C 32%
33°C 13%
32°C 3%
$26,598 वॉल्यूम
$26,598 वॉल्यूम
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
13%
34°C
32%
35°C or higher
48%
35°C or higher 48%
34°C 32%
33°C 13%
32°C 3%
$26,598 वॉल्यूम
$26,598 वॉल्यूम
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
13%
34°C
32%
35°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds favor a peak of 34–35°C or higher in Chengdu today, reflecting typical early-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin where subtropical monsoon patterns and topographic heat trapping often produce daytime maxima around 30–34°C. High humidity amplifies perceived heat, while recent years show an upward trend in days exceeding 35°C linked to broader warming, pushing the 35°C+ bracket to near-even money. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate modest variability from cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap or elevate readings, with traders incorporating model consensus on minimal cooling from frontal systems. Historical baselines place August averages near 31°C, yet increasing extreme-heat frequency supports the current distribution ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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