Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a peak temperature near 32–33°C in Chengdu on August 6, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and weak steering flow that allows afternoon heating in the Sichuan Basin. High humidity and scattered monsoon moisture support isolated thunderstorms, which could limit insolation and cap the daily maximum depending on timing and coverage. Basin topography often traps heat and reduces nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows around 23–25°C and sustaining elevated daytime values. Trader consensus clusters on 32–33°C because model spreads remain narrow for this short lead time, with lower probabilities assigned to 34°C+ outcomes if convection develops earlier or stays suppressed.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 31%
33°C 23%
31°C 13%
34°C 11%
$24,596 वॉल्यूम
$24,596 वॉल्यूम
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
31%
33°C
23%
34°C
11%
35°C या उससे अधिक
6%
32°C 31%
33°C 23%
31°C 13%
34°C 11%
$24,596 वॉल्यूम
$24,596 वॉल्यूम
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
31%
33°C
23%
34°C
11%
35°C या उससे अधिक
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a peak temperature near 32–33°C in Chengdu on August 6, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and weak steering flow that allows afternoon heating in the Sichuan Basin. High humidity and scattered monsoon moisture support isolated thunderstorms, which could limit insolation and cap the daily maximum depending on timing and coverage. Basin topography often traps heat and reduces nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows around 23–25°C and sustaining elevated daytime values. Trader consensus clusters on 32–33°C because model spreads remain narrow for this short lead time, with lower probabilities assigned to 34°C+ outcomes if convection develops earlier or stays suppressed.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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