Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Warsaw’s August 6 maximum near the 32–33°C threshold, with modest spread arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and the precise track of a weak Atlantic trough. Warm advection ahead of this feature supports surface temperatures several degrees above the August climatological mean of roughly 25°C, yet increasing low-level moisture and possible late-day convection introduce downside risk to the peak reading. Official Polish meteorological guidance and high-resolution regional models will narrow the range through tonight’s and tomorrow morning’s updates, directly informing the close market-implied probabilities between 32°C and 33°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 35%
32°C 31%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
29°C या उससे कम
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
31%
33°C
35%
34°C
16%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 31%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
29°C या उससे कम
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
31%
33°C
35%
34°C
16%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Warsaw’s August 6 maximum near the 32–33°C threshold, with modest spread arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and the precise track of a weak Atlantic trough. Warm advection ahead of this feature supports surface temperatures several degrees above the August climatological mean of roughly 25°C, yet increasing low-level moisture and possible late-day convection introduce downside risk to the peak reading. Official Polish meteorological guidance and high-resolution regional models will narrow the range through tonight’s and tomorrow morning’s updates, directly informing the close market-implied probabilities between 32°C and 33°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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