Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate typical late-summer conditions for August 6, with overnight lows centered near 27°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological August minima around 26°C and the current seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October, influenced by long-term warming trends and neutral-to-warm ENSO patterns. Trader consensus favoring 27°C reflects these stable atmospheric conditions and limited day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures, though any unexpected clear skies or stronger winds overnight could nudge readings toward 26°C. Updated model runs and official HKO briefings ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities further.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
27°C 50%
26°C 21%
28°C 21%
25°C 9%
$13,094 वॉल्यूम
$13,094 वॉल्यूम
21°C या उससे कम
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
9%
26°C
21%
27°C
50%
28°C
21%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C या अधिक
<1%
27°C 50%
26°C 21%
28°C 21%
25°C 9%
$13,094 वॉल्यूम
$13,094 वॉल्यूम
21°C या उससे कम
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
9%
26°C
21%
27°C
50%
28°C
21%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate typical late-summer conditions for August 6, with overnight lows centered near 27°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological August minima around 26°C and the current seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October, influenced by long-term warming trends and neutral-to-warm ENSO patterns. Trader consensus favoring 27°C reflects these stable atmospheric conditions and limited day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures, though any unexpected clear skies or stronger winds overnight could nudge readings toward 26°C. Updated model runs and official HKO briefings ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities further.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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