Current forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF point to a daily high near 29–30°C in Manila on August 6, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 45.5% for 29°C and 25.5% for 30°C. The southwest monsoon continues to deliver frequent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity across Luzon, which typically caps afternoon temperatures below seasonal peaks. Historical August averages for the city hover around 30–31°C, but recent regional moisture patterns and light steering winds have favored slightly cooler outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or above given limited intensification signals in the latest guidance. PAGASA updates and refined model runs ahead of the date remain key watchpoints for any last-minute shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
6 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 46%
30°C 26%
28°C 18%
31°C 6%
नया
नया
6 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
18%
29°C
46%
30°C
26%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
29°C 46%
30°C 26%
28°C 18%
31°C 6%
नया
नया
6 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
$207 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$59 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$245 वॉल्यूम
3%
28°C
$131 वॉल्यूम
18%
29°C
$1,724 वॉल्यूम
46%
30°C
$572 वॉल्यूम
26%
31°C
$291 वॉल्यूम
6%
32°C
$107 वॉल्यूम
1%
33°C
$468 वॉल्यूम
<1%
34°C
$102 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
$108 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF point to a daily high near 29–30°C in Manila on August 6, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 45.5% for 29°C and 25.5% for 30°C. The southwest monsoon continues to deliver frequent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity across Luzon, which typically caps afternoon temperatures below seasonal peaks. Historical August averages for the city hover around 30–31°C, but recent regional moisture patterns and light steering winds have favored slightly cooler outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or above given limited intensification signals in the latest guidance. PAGASA updates and refined model runs ahead of the date remain key watchpoints for any last-minute shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,014समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF point to a daily high near 29–30°C in Manila on August 6, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 45.5% for 29°C and 25.5% for 30°C. The southwest monsoon continues to deliver frequent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity across Luzon, which typically caps afternoon temperatures below seasonal peaks. Historical August averages for the city hover around 30–31°C, but recent regional moisture patterns and light steering winds have favored slightly cooler outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or above given limited intensification signals in the latest guidance. PAGASA updates and refined model runs ahead of the date remain key watchpoints for any last-minute shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$4,014समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF point to a daily high near 29–30°C in Manila on August 6, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 45.5% for 29°C and 25.5% for 30°C. The southwest monsoon continues to deliver frequent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity across Luzon, which typically caps afternoon temperatures below seasonal peaks. Historical August averages for the city hover around 30–31°C, but recent regional moisture patterns and light steering winds have favored slightly cooler outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or above given limited intensification signals in the latest guidance. PAGASA updates and refined model runs ahead of the date remain key watchpoints for any last-minute shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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