**Short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a maximum temperature in Chengdu of 32–34°C on July 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes around 33–35°C.** Chengdu’s subtropical monsoon climate typically brings peak summer highs near 30–31°C in early July, but recent model guidance shows slightly elevated values under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity. Variability stems from potential afternoon cloud build-up or isolated showers, which could cap temperatures near 32–33°C, versus clearer skies allowing brief peaks near 34–35°C. Official outlooks emphasize the influence of regional steering patterns and diurnal heating in the Sichuan Basin, with minimal risk of extremes above 36°C or below 31°C given the current setup. Traders appear to weigh these narrow forecast spreads, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities near the expected range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 4?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 4?
34°C 27%
33°C 26%
35°C 20%
32°C 15%
नया
नया
4 जुल, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
15%
33°C
26%
34°C
27%
35°C
20%
36°C
6%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 27%
33°C 26%
35°C 20%
32°C 15%
नया
नया
4 जुल, 2026
28°C or below
$84 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$53 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$336 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C
$33 वॉल्यूम
6%
32°C
$86 वॉल्यूम
15%
33°C
$101 वॉल्यूम
26%
34°C
$142 वॉल्यूम
27%
35°C
$76 वॉल्यूम
20%
36°C
$48 वॉल्यूम
6%
37°C
$109 वॉल्यूम
2%
38°C or higher
$271 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a maximum temperature in Chengdu of 32–34°C on July 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes around 33–35°C.**
Chengdu’s subtropical monsoon climate typically brings peak summer highs near 30–31°C in early July, but recent model guidance shows slightly elevated values under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity. Variability stems from potential afternoon cloud build-up or isolated showers, which could cap temperatures near 32–33°C, versus clearer skies allowing brief peaks near 34–35°C. Official outlooks emphasize the influence of regional steering patterns and diurnal heating in the Sichuan Basin, with minimal risk of extremes above 36°C or below 31°C given the current setup. Traders appear to weigh these narrow forecast spreads, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities near the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,339समाप्ति तिथि
4 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a maximum temperature in Chengdu of 32–34°C on July 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes around 33–35°C.**
Chengdu’s subtropical monsoon climate typically brings peak summer highs near 30–31°C in early July, but recent model guidance shows slightly elevated values under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity. Variability stems from potential afternoon cloud build-up or isolated showers, which could cap temperatures near 32–33°C, versus clearer skies allowing brief peaks near 34–35°C. Official outlooks emphasize the influence of regional steering patterns and diurnal heating in the Sichuan Basin, with minimal risk of extremes above 36°C or below 31°C given the current setup. Traders appear to weigh these narrow forecast spreads, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities near the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,339समाप्ति तिथि
4 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a maximum temperature in Chengdu of 32–34°C on July 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes around 33–35°C.** Chengdu’s subtropical monsoon climate typically brings peak summer highs near 30–31°C in early July, but recent model guidance shows slightly elevated values under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity. Variability stems from potential afternoon cloud build-up or isolated showers, which could cap temperatures near 32–33°C, versus clearer skies allowing brief peaks near 34–35°C. Official outlooks emphasize the influence of regional steering patterns and diurnal heating in the Sichuan Basin, with minimal risk of extremes above 36°C or below 31°C given the current setup. Traders appear to weigh these narrow forecast spreads, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities near the expected range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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