Recent weather model consensus points to a daily maximum in Chengdu of 24–26°C on September 13, with scattered light rain and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Multiple forecasts, including those from European and global ensembles, highlight weak southerly flow and moisture associated with lingering seasonal systems, which suppress peak temperatures below the climatological September average of roughly 28°C. This narrow range of expected values explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations, where even modest shifts in timing of cloud breaks or rainfall could alter the recorded high by 1–2°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 सितंबर को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
25°C 29%
24°C 28%
26°C 24%
23°C 9%
20°C या उससे कम
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
28%
25°C
29%
26°C
24%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
25°C 29%
24°C 28%
26°C 24%
23°C 9%
20°C या उससे कम
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
28%
25°C
29%
26°C
24%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus points to a daily maximum in Chengdu of 24–26°C on September 13, with scattered light rain and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Multiple forecasts, including those from European and global ensembles, highlight weak southerly flow and moisture associated with lingering seasonal systems, which suppress peak temperatures below the climatological September average of roughly 28°C. This narrow range of expected values explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations, where even modest shifts in timing of cloud breaks or rainfall could alter the recorded high by 1–2°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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