Trader consensus centers on 16–18°C for Chengdu’s September 13 minimum, with tightly clustered probabilities reflecting forecast uncertainty in nocturnal cooling. Recent model runs show a weak frontal passage and lingering moisture from prior days’ rain, which moderates radiative heat loss under variable cloud cover and elevated humidity near 80–90%. The Sichuan Basin’s topographic trapping of cooler air supports the 18°C outcome, while clearer intervals or slightly stronger northerly flow could allow brief drops toward 16°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights modest day-to-day variability typical of mid-September transitions, with no strong synoptic driver pushing extremes. Updated evening observations and next model cycle will likely refine resolution between these adjacent thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 सितंबर को चेंगदू में सबसे कम तापमान?
16°C 93%
15°C 90%
17°C 46%
14°C या उससे कम 44%
$479 वॉल्यूम
$479 वॉल्यूम
14°C या उससे कम
44%
15°C
90%
16°C
93%
17°C
46%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C या अधिक
<1%
16°C 93%
15°C 90%
17°C 46%
14°C या उससे कम 44%
$479 वॉल्यूम
$479 वॉल्यूम
14°C या उससे कम
44%
15°C
90%
16°C
93%
17°C
46%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 16–18°C for Chengdu’s September 13 minimum, with tightly clustered probabilities reflecting forecast uncertainty in nocturnal cooling. Recent model runs show a weak frontal passage and lingering moisture from prior days’ rain, which moderates radiative heat loss under variable cloud cover and elevated humidity near 80–90%. The Sichuan Basin’s topographic trapping of cooler air supports the 18°C outcome, while clearer intervals or slightly stronger northerly flow could allow brief drops toward 16°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights modest day-to-day variability typical of mid-September transitions, with no strong synoptic driver pushing extremes. Updated evening observations and next model cycle will likely refine resolution between these adjacent thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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