Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Cape Town on September 13 most likely between 21–25°C, with ensemble guidance showing afternoon peaks near 22–24°C amid increasing cloud cover, light showers, and shifting winds from southeast to northwest. These conditions, typical for early spring in the region, limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while sea-surface temperatures around 15–17°C and a modest pressure gradient further moderate extremes. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23°C and 24°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C+ outcomes that would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow than current runs suggest. Updated model consensus and local observations ahead of peak heating hours remain key variables for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 सितंबर को केप टाउन में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
23°C 24%
24°C 24%
22°C 18%
25°C 15%
19°C या उससे कम
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
18%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
15%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C या उससे अधिक
1%
23°C 24%
24°C 24%
22°C 18%
25°C 15%
19°C या उससे कम
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
18%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
15%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Cape Town on September 13 most likely between 21–25°C, with ensemble guidance showing afternoon peaks near 22–24°C amid increasing cloud cover, light showers, and shifting winds from southeast to northwest. These conditions, typical for early spring in the region, limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while sea-surface temperatures around 15–17°C and a modest pressure gradient further moderate extremes. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23°C and 24°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C+ outcomes that would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow than current runs suggest. Updated model consensus and local observations ahead of peak heating hours remain key variables for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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