Recent forecasts from multiple models and National Weather Service guidance show a cold front clearing showers from September 13, ushering in northerly winds and mostly clear skies overnight into September 14. This setup favors radiative cooling under dry air and moderate northwest flow, positioning the overnight low in central NYC near 63–65°F, consistent with the market’s leading 64–65°F (29.5%) and 66–67°F (41%) bins that together exceed 70% implied probability. Historical September normals for Central Park place typical lows near 63°F, so current conditions align closely with climatology rather than extremes. Minor model spread in exact minimum timing and wind strength introduces limited uncertainty, with traders weighting the consensus mid-60s outcome most heavily ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 सितंबर को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
66-67°F 41%
64-65°F 31%
62-63°F 16%
68-69°F 9%
57°F या उससे कम
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
16%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
41%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F या उससे अधिक
1%
66-67°F 41%
64-65°F 31%
62-63°F 16%
68-69°F 9%
57°F या उससे कम
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
16%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
41%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and National Weather Service guidance show a cold front clearing showers from September 13, ushering in northerly winds and mostly clear skies overnight into September 14. This setup favors radiative cooling under dry air and moderate northwest flow, positioning the overnight low in central NYC near 63–65°F, consistent with the market’s leading 64–65°F (29.5%) and 66–67°F (41%) bins that together exceed 70% implied probability. Historical September normals for Central Park place typical lows near 63°F, so current conditions align closely with climatology rather than extremes. Minor model spread in exact minimum timing and wind strength introduces limited uncertainty, with traders weighting the consensus mid-60s outcome most heavily ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न