**Persistent cool, moist southerly flow and widespread cloud cover from an active frontal system are keeping maximum temperatures in São Paulo suppressed near 16–17 °C on September 14, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 39 % for 17 °C and 27 % for 16 °C.** Official guidance from INMET and global models (GFS, ECMWF) shows continued heavy rain, high humidity above 85 %, and limited solar heating, consistent with the month’s already anomalous cool pattern that has run roughly 7 °C below historical September averages. Resolution will hinge on whether daytime clearing allows brief warming toward 18 °C (16.5 % implied) or if steady precipitation caps readings at 15 °C or lower (9.2 % combined). Updated model runs and INMET bulletins through the evening of the 13th remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 सितंबर को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17°C 39%
16°C 28%
18°C 17%
15°C 9%
14°C या उससे कम
1%
15°C
9%
16°C
28%
17°C
39%
18°C
17%
19°C
6%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C या अधिक
<1%
17°C 39%
16°C 28%
18°C 17%
15°C 9%
14°C या उससे कम
1%
15°C
9%
16°C
28%
17°C
39%
18°C
17%
19°C
6%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cool, moist southerly flow and widespread cloud cover from an active frontal system are keeping maximum temperatures in São Paulo suppressed near 16–17 °C on September 14, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 39 % for 17 °C and 27 % for 16 °C.** Official guidance from INMET and global models (GFS, ECMWF) shows continued heavy rain, high humidity above 85 %, and limited solar heating, consistent with the month’s already anomalous cool pattern that has run roughly 7 °C below historical September averages. Resolution will hinge on whether daytime clearing allows brief warming toward 18 °C (16.5 % implied) or if steady precipitation caps readings at 15 °C or lower (9.2 % combined). Updated model runs and INMET bulletins through the evening of the 13th remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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