Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a likely peak near 30–32°C on September 14, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer air and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that enhance daytime heating. Afternoon wind speeds around 15–30 km/h and low precipitation chances (under 15%) support limited cooling from evaporation or cloud cover. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–30°C because of remaining uncertainty in exact maximum timing, potential for brief convective development, and historical September variability where daily highs can shift several degrees based on subtle steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 47%
31°C 32%
27°C 16%
29°C 16%
25°C या उससे कम
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
47%
31°C
32%
32°C
11%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C या उससे अधिक
4%
30°C 47%
31°C 32%
27°C 16%
29°C 16%
25°C या उससे कम
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
47%
31°C
32%
32°C
11%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C या उससे अधिक
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a likely peak near 30–32°C on September 14, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer air and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that enhance daytime heating. Afternoon wind speeds around 15–30 km/h and low precipitation chances (under 15%) support limited cooling from evaporation or cloud cover. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–30°C because of remaining uncertainty in exact maximum timing, potential for brief convective development, and historical September variability where daily highs can shift several degrees based on subtle steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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