Recent forecast models from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a mild overnight low for Moscow on September 15, driven by persistent westerly to northwesterly flow and limited advection of colder Arctic air masses. Current runs project minimum temperatures near 8–11°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 8°C for mid-September. This setup, combined with stable high pressure and no incoming cold front through the 48-hour window, underpins trader consensus favoring the 13°C-or-higher bucket at 47% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain possible only if models trend cooler with revised boundary-layer cooling. Updated guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24 hours will further refine resolution thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 सितंबर को मॉस्को में सबसे कम तापमान?
15 सितंबर को मॉस्को में सबसे कम तापमान?
13°C या अधिक 94%
4°C 40%
5°C 21%
6°C 21%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
3°C या उससे कम
1%
4°C
40%
5°C
21%
6°C
21%
7°C
21%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C या अधिक
94%
13°C या अधिक 94%
4°C 40%
5°C 21%
6°C 21%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
3°C या उससे कम
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
4°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
40%
5°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
6°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
7°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
8°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
9°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
10°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
11°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
13°C या अधिक
$72 वॉल्यूम
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a mild overnight low for Moscow on September 15, driven by persistent westerly to northwesterly flow and limited advection of colder Arctic air masses. Current runs project minimum temperatures near 8–11°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 8°C for mid-September. This setup, combined with stable high pressure and no incoming cold front through the 48-hour window, underpins trader consensus favoring the 13°C-or-higher bucket at 47% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain possible only if models trend cooler with revised boundary-layer cooling. Updated guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24 hours will further refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$92समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a mild overnight low for Moscow on September 15, driven by persistent westerly to northwesterly flow and limited advection of colder Arctic air masses. Current runs project minimum temperatures near 8–11°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 8°C for mid-September. This setup, combined with stable high pressure and no incoming cold front through the 48-hour window, underpins trader consensus favoring the 13°C-or-higher bucket at 47% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain possible only if models trend cooler with revised boundary-layer cooling. Updated guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24 hours will further refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$92समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a mild overnight low for Moscow on September 15, driven by persistent westerly to northwesterly flow and limited advection of colder Arctic air masses. Current runs project minimum temperatures near 8–11°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 8°C for mid-September. This setup, combined with stable high pressure and no incoming cold front through the 48-hour window, underpins trader consensus favoring the 13°C-or-higher bucket at 47% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain possible only if models trend cooler with revised boundary-layer cooling. Updated guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24 hours will further refine resolution thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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