Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows northerly flow and increasing cloud cover moderating daytime heating in Istanbul on September 13, with highs forecast near 23–25 °C amid possible light showers. This follows September 12 readings around 27–28 °C under clearer skies, reflecting a shift from southerly to cooler maritime air masses that reduces surface warming. Historical mid-September averages near 24–26 °C provide context, yet the current setup favors values clustering at 22–23 °C, aligning with market-implied probabilities of 47.5 % and 34.5 %. Official station observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the exact maximum, with any late-day clearing or delayed frontal passage the main variables that could alter the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 सितंबर को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
22°C 49%
23°C 35%
21°C 11%
24°C 7%
20°C या उससे नीचे
2%
21°C
11%
22°C
49%
23°C
35%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C या अधिक
<1%
22°C 49%
23°C 35%
21°C 11%
24°C 7%
20°C या उससे नीचे
2%
21°C
11%
22°C
49%
23°C
35%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows northerly flow and increasing cloud cover moderating daytime heating in Istanbul on September 13, with highs forecast near 23–25 °C amid possible light showers. This follows September 12 readings around 27–28 °C under clearer skies, reflecting a shift from southerly to cooler maritime air masses that reduces surface warming. Historical mid-September averages near 24–26 °C provide context, yet the current setup favors values clustering at 22–23 °C, aligning with market-implied probabilities of 47.5 % and 34.5 %. Official station observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the exact maximum, with any late-day clearing or delayed frontal passage the main variables that could alter the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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