Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over Chicago for August 2, driven by increased cloud cover, possible onshore lake breeze effects from Lake Michigan, and steering patterns limiting daytime heating. These conditions support market-implied odds favoring a high of 74–77°F as the consensus range, well below the 1991–2020 climatological normal near 84°F. Recent model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest upside risk from clearing skies or stronger mixing, keeping higher bins like 78°F+ at low implied probabilities under 16%. Updated short-range guidance in the past 48 hours has reinforced this outlook ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
2 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 12%
नया
नया
2 अग, 2026
65°F या उससे कम
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F या उससे अधिक
1%
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 12%
नया
नया
2 अग, 2026
65°F या उससे कम
$15 वॉल्यूम
1%
66-67°F
$31 वॉल्यूम
2%
68-69°F
$31 वॉल्यूम
2%
70-71°F
$20 वॉल्यूम
2%
72-73°F
$31 वॉल्यूम
12%
74-75°F
$46 वॉल्यूम
30%
76-77°F
$101 वॉल्यूम
43%
78-79°F
$111 वॉल्यूम
18%
80-81°F
$42 वॉल्यूम
1%
82-83°F
$32 वॉल्यूम
1%
84°F या उससे अधिक
$15 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over Chicago for August 2, driven by increased cloud cover, possible onshore lake breeze effects from Lake Michigan, and steering patterns limiting daytime heating. These conditions support market-implied odds favoring a high of 74–77°F as the consensus range, well below the 1991–2020 climatological normal near 84°F. Recent model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest upside risk from clearing skies or stronger mixing, keeping higher bins like 78°F+ at low implied probabilities under 16%. Updated short-range guidance in the past 48 hours has reinforced this outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$476समाप्ति तिथि
2 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over Chicago for August 2, driven by increased cloud cover, possible onshore lake breeze effects from Lake Michigan, and steering patterns limiting daytime heating. These conditions support market-implied odds favoring a high of 74–77°F as the consensus range, well below the 1991–2020 climatological normal near 84°F. Recent model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest upside risk from clearing skies or stronger mixing, keeping higher bins like 78°F+ at low implied probabilities under 16%. Updated short-range guidance in the past 48 hours has reinforced this outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$476समाप्ति तिथि
2 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over Chicago for August 2, driven by increased cloud cover, possible onshore lake breeze effects from Lake Michigan, and steering patterns limiting daytime heating. These conditions support market-implied odds favoring a high of 74–77°F as the consensus range, well below the 1991–2020 climatological normal near 84°F. Recent model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest upside risk from clearing skies or stronger mixing, keeping higher bins like 78°F+ at low implied probabilities under 16%. Updated short-range guidance in the past 48 hours has reinforced this outlook ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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