Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Chicago indicates a maximum temperature on August 21 likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, several degrees below the 82°F seasonal normal, as a cooler air mass and possible cloud cover or light precipitation moderate daytime heating. This forecast consensus, drawn from official NOAA runs and historical analogs for late-August patterns, drives the market's even distribution of implied probabilities across the 76–85°F bins. Short-term temperature predictions carry inherent uncertainty from evolving boundary-layer conditions and model spread, with traders incorporating the latest observational data and guidance updates ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 45%
82-83°F 23%
76-77°F 7%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
69°F या उससे कम
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
6%
88°F या अधिक
6%
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 45%
82-83°F 23%
76-77°F 7%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
69°F या उससे कम
$5 वॉल्यूम
1%
70-71°F
$5 वॉल्यूम
1%
72-73°F
$5 वॉल्यूम
6%
74-75°F
$5 वॉल्यूम
6%
76-77°F
$12 वॉल्यूम
7%
78-79°F
$5 वॉल्यूम
33%
80-81°F
$18 वॉल्यूम
38%
82-83°F
$5 वॉल्यूम
23%
84-85°F
$17 वॉल्यूम
5%
86-87°F
$5 वॉल्यूम
6%
88°F या अधिक
$5 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Chicago indicates a maximum temperature on August 21 likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, several degrees below the 82°F seasonal normal, as a cooler air mass and possible cloud cover or light precipitation moderate daytime heating. This forecast consensus, drawn from official NOAA runs and historical analogs for late-August patterns, drives the market's even distribution of implied probabilities across the 76–85°F bins. Short-term temperature predictions carry inherent uncertainty from evolving boundary-layer conditions and model spread, with traders incorporating the latest observational data and guidance updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$86समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Chicago indicates a maximum temperature on August 21 likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, several degrees below the 82°F seasonal normal, as a cooler air mass and possible cloud cover or light precipitation moderate daytime heating. This forecast consensus, drawn from official NOAA runs and historical analogs for late-August patterns, drives the market's even distribution of implied probabilities across the 76–85°F bins. Short-term temperature predictions carry inherent uncertainty from evolving boundary-layer conditions and model spread, with traders incorporating the latest observational data and guidance updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$86समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Chicago indicates a maximum temperature on August 21 likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, several degrees below the 82°F seasonal normal, as a cooler air mass and possible cloud cover or light precipitation moderate daytime heating. This forecast consensus, drawn from official NOAA runs and historical analogs for late-August patterns, drives the market's even distribution of implied probabilities across the 76–85°F bins. Short-term temperature predictions carry inherent uncertainty from evolving boundary-layer conditions and model spread, with traders incorporating the latest observational data and guidance updates ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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