Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Chicago on July 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 4?
86-87°F 38%
84-85°F 34%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 7%
नया
$27,758 वॉल्यूम
नया
$27,758 वॉल्यूम
4 जुल, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
38%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 38%
84-85°F 34%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 7%
नया
$27,758 वॉल्यूम
नया
$27,758 वॉल्यूम
4 जुल, 2026
75°F or below
$1,081 वॉल्यूम
<1%
76-77°F
$1,435 वॉल्यूम
<1%
78-79°F
$1,316 वॉल्यूम
1%
80-81°F
$2,513 वॉल्यूम
3%
82-83°F
$4,868 वॉल्यूम
7%
84-85°F
$9,543 वॉल्यूम
34%
86-87°F
$1,984 वॉल्यूम
38%
88-89°F
$1,376 वॉल्यूम
16%
90-91°F
$1,238 वॉल्यूम
2%
92-93°F
$1,190 वॉल्यूम
<1%
94°F or higher
$1,213 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,758समाप्ति तिथि
4 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$27,758समाप्ति तिथि
4 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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